特朗普发文昭告全球，包括中国、俄罗斯在内，这次一个都跑不掉？

Core Viewpoint - Trump's new tariff policy, deemed illegal, has sparked global backlash, yet he remains undeterred and has decided to impose a 15% tariff on all countries, raising questions about his motivations and the implications for international relations [1][2][4]. Group 1: Tariff Policy Details - Trump's previous tariffs on China and other countries exceeded $175 billion, but a Supreme Court ruling declared them illegal, prompting him to find new justification for a global tariff [2][4]. - The legal basis for the new tariff policy is weak, as it relies on a law applicable only in cases of severe international balance of payments deficits, which the U.S. does not currently face [4]. - The new tariff policy is set to last only 150 days, limiting its effectiveness and suggesting it may be more of a political maneuver than a sustainable economic strategy [4][5]. Group 2: Domestic and International Reactions - The policy has faced strong opposition domestically, with Democratic governors demanding the return of illegally collected tariffs and even some Republican dissent regarding the indiscriminate nature of the tariffs [7]. - Internationally, allies like the UK and Australia, who previously negotiated favorable tariff rates, are now among the primary victims of this new policy, leading to widespread condemnation [7][8]. Group 3: Implications for China and Global Trade - Despite the aggressive stance, the new tariffs are unlikely to impose additional losses on China, as its baseline tariffs on U.S. exports are already at 25% [8]. - The policy may inadvertently enhance China's negotiating position in U.S.-China trade talks, as it limits Trump's ability to leverage tariffs easily [8][17]. - The unilateral nature of the tariffs is damaging to the U.S.'s international image, undermining its relationships with allies and raising concerns about adherence to international trade rules [9][17]. Group 4: Trump's Visit to China - Trump's planned visit to China amid the tariff controversy raises questions about his intentions to strengthen bilateral cooperation and address the ongoing trade tensions [10][12]. - The visit is seen as an attempt to secure economic concessions from China to alleviate domestic fiscal pressures and bolster his political standing ahead of upcoming midterm elections [13][15]. - China appears to be in a position of strength, maintaining a firm stance on core issues while showing no urgency to concede to external pressures [15][17].