博时基金：持续看好A股权益市场

Core Viewpoint - The current market has limited downside potential, and there is a high probability that the market will enter the second half of the spring rally after the Spring Festival, supported by various factors including expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026 and a positive trend in the domestic technology sector [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The core contradiction in recent market fluctuations is external liquidity, with expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path and magnitude still showing some divergence [1] - The confirmation of the new Federal Reserve chairman is expected to maintain a loose medium to long-term dollar liquidity environment, indicating that the underlying logic remains unchanged [1] - The external environment is anticipated to remain stable, further enhancing economic recovery expectations as the National People's Congress approaches [1] Group 2: Investment Directions for 2026 - Investment opportunities are suggested in four main areas: 1. Expansion of emerging industries, including artificial intelligence applications, semiconductor hardware, commercial aerospace, quantum technology, brain-computer interfaces, and advanced nuclear energy [2] 2. Upgrading of resource and traditional industries, focusing on non-ferrous metals and chemical resources driven by global supply-demand gaps and energy transition [2] 3. Export-oriented sectors, particularly high-end manufacturing fields such as engineering machinery and power equipment with global competitiveness [2] 4. Domestic demand recovery, emphasizing the rhythm of economic recovery expectations and increasing attention to consumer sectors with clear profit recovery paths and dividend protection [2]