国际金价持续飙升：机构预测年内或突破6000美元

Group 1 - The global gold market continues to show strong upward momentum, with spot gold prices reaching $5,248.89 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 20% [1] - The recent surge began in Q4 2025 and accelerated in early 2026, with prices rising from $4,000 to over $5,500 in just three months, driven by heightened investor interest in gold's safe-haven properties [1] - Factors contributing to increased market risk sentiment include escalating trade tensions involving the U.S., sovereignty disputes over Greenland, and the spillover effects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, alongside uncertainties in U.S. fiscal policy [1] Group 2 - The dollar index has declined by 9% since early 2025, marking its worst annual performance since 2003, with the IMF reporting that the dollar's share in global central bank reserves has fallen to 56.92%, the lowest since 1995 [2] - Major financial institutions like Morgan Stanley and Bank of America have set optimistic price targets for gold, with Morgan Stanley maintaining a target of $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026, while Bank of America anticipates prices reaching $6,000 within the next 12 months [2] - Analysts suggest that gold has entered an "ultra-sovereign currency" era, with its pricing logic shifting from being solely interest rate-driven to being influenced by global monetary stability, fiscal sustainability, and geopolitical risks [2]