Will Higher Semiconductor Revenues Help AVGO Stock Beat Q1 Earnings?

Core Insights - Broadcom's first-quarter fiscal 2026 results are expected to show significant growth driven by expanding AI offerings, particularly in custom AI accelerators [1] - AI revenues surged 74% year over year to $6.5 billion in Q4 fiscal 2025, with expectations to double to $8.2 billion in the upcoming quarter [2] - Semiconductor revenues are projected to increase by 50% year over year to $12.3 billion, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $12.11 billion, indicating a 47.5% growth from the previous year [2] Semiconductor Segment - The Semiconductor segment is benefiting from strong demand for custom AI accelerators (XPUs) necessary for training Generative AI models [1] - The operating income for the Semiconductor segment is estimated at $7.084 billion, reflecting a 50.5% increase from the previous year [7] Infrastructure Software Segment - VMware's growing traction is expected to drive revenue growth in the Infrastructure Software segment, with a focus on subscription-based models and VMware Cloud Foundation [4] - Infrastructure software revenues are anticipated to be around $6.8 billion, representing a 2% year-over-year increase, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate is at $7.039 billion, indicating 5% growth [5] Gross Margin and EBITDA - Despite the revenue growth from XPUs, the lower-margin nature of these products is expected to negatively impact Broadcom's gross margin, projected to decline by 100 basis points sequentially [6] - The adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be 67% in Q4 fiscal 2025, suggesting an 80-basis point decline sequentially [6]