国泰海通证券:首予聚水潭“增持”评级 电商ERP SaaS领军
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-03-04 03:12

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan Securities initiates coverage on Jushuitan (06687) with a "Buy" rating, projecting significant revenue and profit growth from 2025 to 2027, with a target price of HKD 28.56 [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Expected revenue for Jushuitan from 2025 to 2027 is projected at CNY 11.33 billion, CNY 14.02 billion, and CNY 17.06 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 24.55%, 23.69%, and 21.73% respectively [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be CNY 1.80 billion, CNY 3.60 billion, and CNY 5.57 billion for the same period, with EPS of CNY 0.41, CNY 0.82, and CNY 1.28 [1] - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of CNY 5.24 billion, a year-on-year increase of 24.39%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of CNY 0.41 billion, reducing losses by 30.08% [1] Group 2: Market Position and Customer Metrics - Jushuitan is identified as the largest e-commerce SaaS ERP provider in China, with revenue growth from CNY 5.23 billion in 2022 to CNY 9.10 billion in 2024, and an improving gross margin from 52.3% to 68.5% [1] - The company’s LTV/CAC ratio is projected to reach 9.3 in 2024, significantly higher than the industry average of 3, indicating high customer acquisition efficiency [1] - The number of SaaS customers is expected to grow from 45,700 in 2022 to 88,400 in 2024, with net customer revenue retention increasing from 105% to 115% [2] Group 3: Product and Technology Innovation - Jushuitan's ERP system integrates a comprehensive product matrix covering the entire supply chain, including various SaaS and AI products, enhancing customer stickiness and cross-selling opportunities [2] - In the first half of 2025, customers purchasing two or more products contributed 39.3% of SaaS revenue, showcasing strong cross-selling growth [2] - The company leverages AI technology as a foundational capability, embedding it across various operational scenarios, thus enhancing its ERP system without replacing existing tools [3]

Haitong Securities-国泰海通证券:首予聚水潭“增持”评级 电商ERP SaaS领军 - Reportify