Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-03-07 01:13Core Viewpoint - The storage industry remains in a high state of prosperity, driven by strong demand and better-than-expected performance from key players like Kioxia and Bawei Storage, with expectations of supply shortages continuing into the first half of 2027 [1][8]. Price Review - DRAM prices showed a mixed trend in February, with spot prices fluctuating between -3% to +12%, while contract prices for DDR5 and DDR4 increased by 4% and 8% respectively [1]. - NAND Flash prices continued to rise significantly in February, with spot prices increasing by 10% to 26% and contract prices up by 37% to 67% [1]. - Module prices for DDR4/5 remained stable, while SSD prices increased by 0% to 13% and mobile storage prices rose by 10% to 25% [2]. Price Outlook - DRAM contract prices are expected to rise by 90% to 95% in Q1, with major manufacturers like Samsung and SK Hynix planning further price increases in Q2 [2]. - NAND Flash prices are projected to increase by 85% to 90% in Q1 due to strong demand from AI servers, surpassing previous expectations of 55% to 60% [2]. Demand Assessment from Overseas Manufacturers - SK Hynix anticipates a year-on-year growth of over 20% in DRAM bit demand and 15% to 20% in NAND bit demand for 2026, with inventory levels at approximately four weeks [4]. - SanDisk expects data center bit demand to grow by over 60% in 2026 [4]. - Kioxia forecasts a long-term CAGR of about 20% for NAND market bit demand, with significant revenue growth expected in FY4Q25 [4]. Domestic Storage Company Performance Expectations - Bawei Storage projects revenue of 4 to 4.5 billion yuan for January-February, representing a year-on-year increase of 340% to 395%, with net profit expected to rise by 922% to 1086% [5].