Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-03-30 05:55Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Daiwa has upgraded Ganfeng Lithium's investment rating from "underperform" to "outperform" due to improvements in the global lithium supply-demand landscape, with a target price increase from HKD 53 to HKD 85 [1] - Daiwa anticipates a global lithium supply shortage in 2026, primarily due to the early implementation of Zimbabwe's lithium export ban and slower-than-expected resumption of production at CATL's lithium mica mines [1] - The brokerage has raised its earnings per share forecast for Ganfeng Lithium for 2026-2027 by 213% to 583%, reflecting an increase in lithium prices and has adopted a price-to-earnings valuation method with a target P/E ratio of 17.3 times, lower than the 20 times for Ganfeng's A-shares [1] Group 2 - Daiwa's forecast for lithium prices in 2026-2027 is set at RMB 130,000 to RMB 145,000 per ton, which is more conservative compared to the market's optimistic expectation of RMB 200,000 per ton, mainly due to concerns over rising production in Africa and China [1]