Ge Long Hui·2026-03-30 06:09Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Daiwa has upgraded Ganfeng Lithium's investment rating from "Underperform" to "Outperform" due to improvements in the global lithium supply-demand landscape [1] - Daiwa has significantly raised the target price for Ganfeng Lithium from 53 HKD to 85 HKD, marking a shift to a positive outlook for the first time after a pessimistic view for 2023 to 2025 [1] - The firm anticipates a global lithium supply shortage in 2026, primarily due to the early implementation of Zimbabwe's lithium mine export ban and slower-than-expected recovery of CATL's lithium mica mines [1] Group 2 - Daiwa has increased its earnings per share forecast for Ganfeng Lithium for 2026 to 2027 by 213% to 583%, reflecting the upward adjustment in lithium prices [1] - The target price-to-earnings ratio has been set at 17.3 times, which is lower than the 20 times for Ganfeng Lithium's A-shares, to account for the lower liquidity of H-shares [1] - The forecast for lithium prices in 2026 to 2027 is set at 130,000 to 145,000 CNY per ton, which is conservative compared to the market's optimistic expectation of 200,000 CNY, mainly due to concerns over rising production in Africa and China [1]