Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that if the Strait of Hormuz remains nearly closed due to the Iran conflict for six to eight weeks, oil prices could surge to $150 or $200 per barrel, with significant disruptions in oil flow [1][2] - FGE NexantECA estimates that 10 million barrels of oil per week and 40 million barrels per month could be affected, leading to astronomical impacts on the market [1] - The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has already caused oil prices to spike, with a recent attack on a tanker contributing to volatility in crude oil futures [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs indicates that as long as oil transportation through the Strait of Hormuz remains restricted, oil prices are likely to continue rising [2] - The firm warns that if the risk of disruption persists, Brent crude prices could exceed the peak of $147.5 per barrel reached in 2008 [2] - Historical instances of large-scale supply shocks highlight the potential for oil prices to remain above $100 per barrel [1]
专业机构FGE预警：若霍尔木兹海峡继续关闭，油价或涨至200美元！