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中国重汽:公司信息点评:限制性股票激励落地,坚定长期发展
03808SINOTRUK(03808) 海通证券·2024-06-26 10:01

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [3][11]. Core Views - The company has completed the grant of 27.17 million incentive shares to 188 selected participants at a price of RMB 6.896 per share, indicating a commitment to long-term development [3]. - The company's sales growth exceeds the industry average, with a year-on-year sales increase of 10% for the first five months, outperforming the industry growth of 7% [3]. - The projected revenue for 2024, 2025, and 2026 is estimated at 1052 billion, 1291 billion, and 1398 billion RMB respectively, with net profits of 61 billion, 80 billion, and 91 billion RMB [4][6]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 85,498 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 23% expected in 2024 [4][6]. - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 5,318 million RMB, with a projected increase to 6,119 million RMB in 2024, reflecting a 15% growth [4][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 2.22, 2.89, and 3.29 RMB for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [4][6]. Valuation - The report uses a PE method for valuation, suggesting a reasonable value range of 23.83 to 28.60 HKD for 2024, based on a PE ratio of 10-12 times [4][5]. - The company’s PE ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected at 8.0, 6.1, and 5.4 respectively [4][6]. Comparative Analysis - The report includes a comparison of the company with peers, indicating an average PE of 10 for comparable companies [5]. - The company’s market capitalization is noted at 53,453 million HKD [1].