Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 6.30, reflecting a potential upside of 21.9% based on the FY25 earnings multiple of 6.5 times [2][3]. Core Insights - The company's FY24 results fell short of expectations, with a 17.4% year-on-year decline in net profit to HKD 1.534 billion, primarily due to a 1.3% drop in water operation revenue and a significant decrease in high-margin connection fee income [2][3]. - The company has initiated price adjustment applications for approximately one-third of its water supply projects, which could take effect by FY26 if approved [2]. - The pipeline drinking water business showed a total revenue increase of 31.4% year-on-year, indicating a cautious but positive growth trajectory [2]. Financial Performance Summary - FY24 revenue was HKD 12.859 billion, down 9.4% from FY23, with a projected revenue of HKD 13.217 billion for FY25 and HKD 14.292 billion for FY26 [5][6]. - The net profit for FY24 was HKD 1.534 billion, with forecasts of HKD 1.582 billion for FY25 and HKD 1.732 billion for FY26, reflecting a recovery trend [5][6]. - Earnings per share (EPS) for FY24 was HKD 0.94, with projections of HKD 0.97 for FY25 and HKD 1.06 for FY26 [5][6]. Market Position and Shareholder Information - The company has a market capitalization of HKD 8,439.11 million, with a circulating share ratio of 47.12% and a 52-week price range of HKD 3.76 to HKD 6.79 [1][2]. - Major shareholder Duan Chuanliang holds a 28.86% stake in the company [1].
中国水务：FY24业绩逊预期