Wenzhou Yihua (002897) 中泰证券·2024-07-12 06:31Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [10] Core Views - The company is expected to maintain strong growth driven by its dual business segments: photovoltaic (PV) brackets and high-speed connectors [12] - The PV bracket business benefits from robust global demand for solar installations, with overseas production capacity expansion enhancing profitability [4] - The high-speed connector business is recovering, supported by AI-driven demand for high-speed communication products [20] - The company is one of the few domestic players capable of mass-producing high-speed connectors, with a competitive edge in the market [20] Financial Performance and Forecast Revenue and Profit Growth - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 5,059 million in 2023 to RMB 9,911 million in 2026, with a CAGR of 25% [1] - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 122 million in 2023 to RMB 598 million in 2026, with a CAGR of 70% [1] - EPS is forecasted to rise from RMB 0.63 in 2023 to RMB 3.08 in 2026 [1] Profitability Metrics - ROE is expected to improve from 7% in 2023 to 19% in 2026 [1] - Net profit margin is projected to increase from 1.8% in 2023 to 6.1% in 2026 [17] Valuation Metrics - P/E ratio is expected to decline from 64.4 in 2023 to 13.2 in 2026, indicating improving valuation attractiveness [1] - P/B ratio is forecasted to decrease from 4.5 in 2023 to 2.5 in 2026 [1] Business Segments Photovoltaic (PV) Bracket Business - The company has established a strong presence in the global PV bracket market, with partnerships with leading North American and European manufacturers [4] - Overseas production facilities in Thailand and the US help mitigate tariff risks and enhance cost efficiency [4] - Global PV installations are expected to grow from 390GW in 2023 to 512-587GW by 2030, providing significant growth opportunities [4] High-Speed Connector Business - The company is a leading domestic player in high-speed connectors, with products like SFP, SFP+, and QSFP56/QSFP-DD 200G/400G connectors [20] - AI-driven demand for high-speed communication products is expected to boost growth, with the market moving towards 56G-112G-224G standards [20] - The company has established partnerships with major clients like Huawei and ZTE, and is well-positioned to benefit from the automotive connector market [20] Operational Highlights - The company's Q2 2024 performance showed strong growth, with non-GAAP net profit increasing by 74.48% YoY and 1.9% QoQ [13] - The US PV bracket factory is in the ramp-up phase, with orders gradually being fulfilled, contributing to improved profitability [13] - The company's gross margin improved slightly in Q1 2024, reaching 17.8%, with net profit margin increasing to 5.85% [13] Industry Outlook - The global PV market is expected to maintain strong growth, with US and European installations projected to increase significantly in the coming years [4] - The high-speed connector market is poised for growth, driven by AI and data center demand, with the company well-positioned to capitalize on this trend [20]