详解 2025 年理财年度报告： 规模稳步增长，增配现金类资产 评级： 增持（维持） 分析师：戴志锋 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 Email：daizf@zts.com.cn 分析师：邓美君 执业证书编号：S0740519050002 Email：dengmj@zts.com.cn 分析师：陈程 执业证书编号：S0740525110001 Email：chencheng07@zts.com.cn 基本状况 上市公司数 42 行业总市值(亿元) 146,116.35 行业流通市值(亿元) 139,898.72 报告摘要 相关报告 业绩增速有望稳中向好，资产质量持 续优化》2026-02-08 贷款 5.1-5.25 万亿元，社融增速为 8.3%》2026-02-07 门 红 奠 定 全 年 业 绩 稳 健 基 调 》 2026-01-31 银行 证券研究报告/行业点评报告 2026 年 02 月 09 日 风险提示事件：经济下滑超预期，经济恢复不及预期，数据更新不及时。 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 理财产品存续规模为 33.29 万亿元，同比增长 11.2%，全年合计增量为 3.34 万亿 ...

5. JPM 2026 隐含大药机遇详细梳理；积极布局医药底部资产 | 增持（维持） 评级： | | | 重点公司基本状况 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 简称 | 股价 | | | EPS | | | | | PE | | | 评级 | | 分析师：祝嘉琦 | | | （元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | 执业证书编号：S0740519040001 | | 药明生物 | 37.68 | - | - | 0.96 | 1.17 | 1.47 | - | | - 39.34 | 32.20 | 25.69 | 买入 | | Email：zhujq@zts.com.cn | | 泰格医药 | 65.65 | 2.34 | 0.47 | 1.25 | 1.47 | 1 ...

5. JPM 2026 隐含大药机遇详细梳理；积极布局医药底部资产 行业-市场走势对比 复+新业务增量；积极把握医药底部 机会》2026-02-02 2、《基金持仓重回底部，建议持续 加配医药底部资产》2026-01-25 3、《政策打通手术机器人收费瓶颈， 临床应用有望加速落地》2026-01-22 医药生物 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2026 年 02 月 09 日 | 增持（维持） 评级： | | | 重点公司基本状况 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 简称 | 股价 | | | EPS | | | | | PE | | | 评级 | | 分析师：祝嘉琦 | | | （元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | 执业证书编号：S0740519040001 | | ...

发明"负债行为框架" 证券研究报告/固收专题报告 2026 年 02 月 09 日 分析师：林莎 执业证书编号：S0740525060004 Email：linsha@zts.com.cn 分析师：吕品 执业证书编号：S0740525060003 Email：lvpin@zts.com.cn 报告摘要 今年元旦以来，我们明显能看到，A 股正在经历负债行为进一步变化、资产端多方向 催化、以及债券开门红行情转移至权益这三个因子的叠加共振。 如何从负债端的视角进行理解？ 第一，牛市的底气来自于定期存款集中到期以及存款活性化。"活期-理财-分红险-公 募基金"，基于投资回报率的视角，吸引力逐级抬升，拥抱权益资产的程度也显著上 升。 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 第二，分红险可作为高息存款到期后的替代。当前定期存款利率低于分红险的"保证 收益"部分，银保渠道将部分到期不续存的定期存款承接至分红险。 第三，固收不够，需要通过加权益来增厚收益。理财规模迅速扩张，资产端的收益却 面临巨大挑战，单纯依赖债基投资已难以满足理财产品的业绩诉求，倒逼资金向权益 资产寻求弹性。理财产品结构趋向含权理财，"+"的部分正在从红利切换到 ...

【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】固收吕品：多空互加筹码，债市迎来 "验牌时刻" 证券研究报告/晨会聚焦 2026 年 02 月 09 日 分析师：戴志锋 2、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】医药祝嘉 琦：战略重视原料药板块，价格修复 +新业务增量；积极把握医药底部机 会》2026-02-04 3、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】军工陈鼎 如：Space X 再申请百万颗卫星，商 业航天关注度持续提升》2026-02-03 今日预览 今日重点>> 【固收】吕品：多空互加筹码，债市迎来"验牌时刻" 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 Email：daizf@zts.com.cn 欢迎关注中泰研究所订阅号 晨报内容回顾 1、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】固收林 莎：如何在定位和投资上做好一只"固 收+"——基金四季报详细拆解》 2026-02-06 【食品饮料】何长天：快餐市场重焕生机，产品创新增时运营 研究分享>> 【固收】吕品：信用债类 ETF 持续净流出 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 今日重点 【固收】吕品：多空互加筹码，债市迎来"验牌时刻" 近两周以来，债市的行情不断修复。尤其是以二永、10 年内期限为代表的配置型品种来说，债 ...

信用债类 ETF 持续净流出 ——债券 ETF 跟踪 分析师：吕品 执业证书编号：S0740525060003 Email：lvpin@zts.com.cn 分析师：苏恩民 执业证书编号：S0740525070002 Email：suem@zts.com.cn 证券研究报告/固收事件点评报告 2026 年 02 月 09 日 报告摘要 上周中债新综合指数全周上涨 0.08%；短期纯债、中长期纯债基金分别上涨 0.01%、 0.01%；中证 AAA 科创债指数、上证基准做市公司债指数分别上涨 0.03%、0.03%。 资金流向 相关报告 截至 2026 年 2 月 6 日，债券型 ETF 近一周合计净流出 40.75 亿元，利率型、信用型、 可转债型 ETF 分别净流入 17.45 亿元、净流出 67.20 亿元、净流入 9.00 亿元。具体 拆分来看，信用型 ETF 中，短融、公司债、城投债分别净流入 32.74 亿元、净流入 0.16 亿元、净流入 2.83 亿元，做市信用债净流出 23.84 亿元，科创债净流出 79.08 亿元。截至 2026 年 2 月 6 日，利率型、信用型、可转债 ETF 自 20 ...

拉夫劳伦量价齐升超预期，米兰冬奥提升运动景气度 ——轻工制造及纺服服饰行业周报 轻工制造 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2026 年 02 月 08 日 | 增持（维持） 评级： | | 重点公司基本状况 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 简称 | 股价 | | | EPS | | | | | PE | | | 评级 | | 分析师：张潇 | | （元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | 执业证书编号：S0740523030001 | 太阳纸业 | 16.40 | 1.10 | 1.12 | 1.20 | 1.34 | 1.48 | 14.92 | 14.66 | 13.64 | 12.22 | 11.10 | 买入 | | | 百亚股份 | 22.03 | 0.54 | 0.66 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the building materials sector, indicating an expected relative performance increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [6][110]. Core Insights - The building materials industry is at a turning point, with both demand and valuation expected to improve. The real estate sector is anticipated to stabilize, leading to a recovery in building materials demand. The report highlights that new construction starts in 2025 are projected to decline by 70% compared to 2021, with completions down by 40% and new home sales down by 50% [9][8]. - Rising prices of upstream raw materials such as asphalt, polypropylene, and polyethylene are expected to drive up building material prices, benefiting companies with pricing power [9][8]. - The report recommends several companies, including Beixin Building Materials, Oriental Yuhong, and Sanhe Tree, while suggesting to pay attention to companies like Rabbit Baby and China Liansu [9][8]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The building materials sector is currently underweighted, with a configuration ratio of 0.72% as of Q4 2025, which is significantly lower than the historical average since 2010 [8]. - The cement and glass sectors are noted to be at low valuation levels, with the cement manufacturing PB at the 16th percentile and glass manufacturing PB also at the 16th percentile since 2010 [8]. Key Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Beixin Building Materials: EPS forecasted to increase from 2.1 in 2024 to 3.5 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 13.4 to 8.2 [6]. - Conch Cement: EPS forecasted to rise from 1.5 in 2024 to 2.2 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 17.3 to 11.6 [6]. - China Jushi: EPS expected to grow from 0.6 in 2024 to 1.2 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 36.1 to 18.6 [6]. - Other companies include Weixing New Materials, Sanhe Tree, and Huaxin Cement, all rated as "Buy" or "Increase" [6]. Industry Trends - The report notes a significant increase in market share for consumer building materials over the past few years, with profitability in segments like waterproofing and piping at a low point, suggesting potential for recovery [9][8]. - The cement sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in profitability, with a current national cement market price decrease of 1% and a notable drop in average shipment rates [36][9]. - The float glass sector is experiencing a supply-side adjustment, with production capacity at a five-year low, indicating potential for price recovery [9][8]. Emerging Opportunities - The report highlights opportunities in overseas markets, particularly in Africa, Central Asia, and Southeast Asia, where rising populations and urbanization rates are creating demand for building materials [9][8]. - The electronic fabric market is also noted for its upward price trend due to supply constraints, with significant price increases observed in recent weeks [9][8]. Conclusion - The building materials industry is positioned for a recovery phase, driven by stabilization in the real estate market and rising raw material prices. The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong pricing power and market positioning to capitalize on these trends [9][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electric power equipment industry [6] Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in the lithium battery sector, including Elon Musk's announcement of the large-scale production of dry electrodes and CATL securing a 10GWh energy storage project [8][14][15] - The energy storage market shows strong demand, with January's procurement reaching 36.3GWh and a 42% increase in the average price of 4-hour storage systems over the past six months [25][26] - The report emphasizes the potential for performance and valuation improvements in the lithium battery and energy storage sectors, suggesting a favorable medium-term investment outlook [8] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Sector - The battery industry index rose by 3.24%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 4.57 percentage points, with key stocks like Enjie and Wanrun New Energy showing significant gains [12] - Major events include the announcement of dry electrode mass production by Tesla and strategic partnerships in solid-state battery technology [14][16][18] Energy Storage Sector - January saw a procurement of 36.3GWh in energy storage, with a notable 42% increase in the average price of 4-hour systems [25][26] - The report notes strong demand in regions like Ningxia, which completed a procurement scale of 7.76GWh, the highest in the country [25] - The report identifies key companies in the energy storage sector, including Haibo Sichuang and Sungrow Power [8] Electric Power Equipment Sector - The report discusses the approval of significant high-voltage projects, including the "Mont Electricity into Shanghai" project, marking the start of substantial construction [29][30] - It highlights the ambitious "six AC and six DC" plan in Inner Mongolia, which aims to add 48 million kilowatts of high-voltage transmission capacity [30] Photovoltaic Sector - The report tracks the stability in silicon material prices and the decline in silicon wafer prices, indicating a cautious market outlook [33][36] - It notes the recent interest from Musk's team in Chinese photovoltaic companies, focusing on potential collaborations in solar technology [39] Wind Power Sector - The report outlines progress in offshore wind projects across various regions, with significant approvals and tenders being announced [42][44] - It emphasizes the expected growth in offshore wind capacity and the importance of supply chain developments in the sector [51][52]

多空互加筹码，债市迎来"验牌时刻" 证券研究报告/固收专题报告 2026 年 02 月 08 日 分析师：吕品 执业证书编号：S0740525060003 Email：lvpin@zts.com.cn 报告摘要 近两周以来，债市的行情不断修复。尤其是以二永、10 年内期限为代表的配置型品种 来说，债市短期已经走出了非熊的局面。随着 T、TL、30 年现券的不断修复，但 30 年国债活跃券借贷量仍然在大幅度提高，空头和多头都在互扔筹码，多空决战临近"验 牌时刻"： 分析师：严伶怡 执业证书编号：S0740525070001 Email：yanly@zts.com.cn Email：suht@zts.com.cn 铜价仍有支撑》2026-02-05 2、《如何在定位和投资上做好一只 "固收+"》2026-02-05 执业证书编号：S0740524070004 Email：youyong@zts.com.cn 好？》2026-02-04 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 债券市场多空都有自信，正在互加筹码 分析师：游勇 空方：在中期与短期的逻辑可能都具有较强的完备性。比如，科技行业带动各类资产 的涨价逻辑与债市自身 ...