Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a previous rating of "Buy" as well [1] Core Views - The company is expected to report a median revenue of 4.4 billion RMB for H1 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 48%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 0.93 billion RMB, indicating a turnaround from losses [3][4] - The company has maintained full capacity utilization in Q2 2024, with a utilization rate of 110%, and this high demand is expected to reflect positively in the second half of the year [3][4] - The OLED platform is progressing steadily, and the company is actively expanding its CIS production capacity [4] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company forecasts H1 2024 revenue between 4.3 billion and 4.5 billion RMB, with a median of 4.4 billion RMB, showing a year-over-year growth of 48%. The net profit is expected to be between 0.75 billion and 1.10 billion RMB, with a median of approximately 0.93 billion RMB, indicating a return to profitability [4][5] - For Q2 2024, the revenue is projected at 2.172 billion RMB, reflecting a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 3% but a year-over-year increase of 16% [4] Capacity and Production - The company has been operating at full capacity from March to June 2024, with a utilization rate of 110%. Orders have exceeded production capacity, and prices for some products have been adjusted upwards [4][5] - The company anticipates maintaining full capacity in Q3 2024, with production expected to reflect in Q3 and Q4 results due to the typical 2-3 month lead time from wafer production to delivery [4] Product Development - The company has achieved small-scale production of its 40nm high-voltage OLED process, and the 28nm OLED process is under steady development. The automotive-grade DDIC has also begun gradual production [4] - The CIS segment has become the company's second-largest product line, with full capacity in mid-to-high-end CIS production in H1 2024. The company plans to increase its 12-inch capacity by 30,000 to 50,000 wafers per month in 2024 [4][5] Valuation - The estimated EPS for 2024, 2025, and 2026 is projected to be 0.37 RMB, 0.59 RMB, and 0.73 RMB respectively. As of July 15, 2024, the company's market capitalization is approximately 30.2 billion RMB, corresponding to PE ratios of 40.7, 25.7, and 20.6 for the respective years [4][5]
晶合集成:稼动率反映至财报存在迟滞性,高景气度有望体现在下半年业绩上