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宏观观察2024年第30期(总第541期):二十届三中全会《公报》的五大看点
中国银行·2024-07-19 12:30

Group 1: Economic Reform and Development Goals - The report emphasizes the need to prioritize reform to advance Chinese-style modernization, with a clear roadmap and timeline set for achieving reform goals by 2035[5] - Key reform tasks for the next five years include constructing a high-level socialist market economy, enhancing mechanisms for high-quality economic development, and establishing a supportive innovation system[5] - By 2029, the goal is to complete the proposed reform tasks in time for the 80th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China[5] Group 2: High-Quality Development - High-quality development is identified as the primary task for building a modern socialist country, continuing the themes from the 20th National Congress and the Central Economic Work Conference[7] - The report highlights the importance of balancing government and market roles, ensuring that market mechanisms are effectively utilized while maintaining order and addressing market failures[16] - The focus on enhancing the service industry and modern infrastructure is crucial for improving the resilience and safety of industrial supply chains[13] Group 3: Innovation and Talent Development - The report stresses the need for reforms in education, technology, and talent systems to support new productive forces, with R&D spending in 2023 reaching CNY 3.3 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%[21] - The number of domestic invention patents reached 4.015 million in 2023, marking a 22.4% increase, indicating a strong emphasis on innovation[21] Group 4: Macro-Control and Governance - The report calls for enhancing the scientific nature of macro-control to balance economic growth, optimize structure, and ensure internal and external equilibrium[23] - It emphasizes the need for a coordinated macroeconomic governance system that aligns fiscal and monetary policies with employment, industry, investment, consumption, and environmental policies[41] Group 5: Open Economy and International Cooperation - The report advocates for expanding institutional openness to align with international trade and investment standards, enhancing China's position in global markets[28] - It highlights the importance of optimizing regional open layouts to promote coordinated development and security, with the central and western regions accounting for nearly 20% of total exports in 2023, a 5 percentage point increase from five years ago[29]