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谷歌-A:谷歌FY24Q2业绩点评:搜索与云业务增势良好,对AI投入乐观
GOOGLAlphabet(GOOGL) 国泰君安·2024-07-25 06:01

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Google (GOOGL.US) [1][3]. Core Insights - Google's Q2 FY24 revenue and profit slightly exceeded expectations, driven by strong growth in search and cloud businesses, with AI being a significant growth driver [1][3]. - The company remains optimistic about the future of AI, expecting quarterly CAPEX to maintain or slightly exceed 12billioninFY24[1][3].RevenueandProfitPerformanceGoogleachievedQ2FY24revenueof12 billion in FY24 [1][3]. Revenue and Profit Performance - Google achieved Q2 FY24 revenue of 84.74 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14%, slightly above the market expectation of 84.37billion[3].AdjustedEPSforQ2FY24was84.37 billion [3]. - Adjusted EPS for Q2 FY24 was 1.89, up 31% year-on-year, also exceeding market expectations of 1.84[3].OperatingmarginforQ2FY24was321.84 [3]. - Operating margin for Q2 FY24 was 32%, up 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to ongoing cost and expense control [3][8]. Segment Revenue Growth - Revenue from Google Services in Q2 FY24 was 73.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%, with advertising revenue reaching 64.6billion,up1164.6 billion, up 11% [3]. - Google Cloud revenue for Q2 FY24 was 10.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29%, contributing 1billioninoperatingprofit[3][10].CapitalExpenditureandAIInvestmentCapitalexpenditureforQ2FY24reached1 billion in operating profit [3][10]. Capital Expenditure and AI Investment - Capital expenditure for Q2 FY24 reached 13.2 billion, primarily driven by infrastructure needs, with expectations for FY24 quarterly CAPEX to remain at or slightly above 12billion[3][12].ThecompanybelievesthattherisksofinsufficientinvestmentinAIfaroutweighthoseofoverinvestment[3][12].FinancialForecastsRevenueforecastsforFY2024EFY2026Ehavebeenadjustedto12 billion [3][12]. - The company believes that the risks of insufficient investment in AI far outweigh those of over-investment [3][12]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for FY2024E-FY2026E have been adjusted to 349.5 billion, 383billion,and383 billion, and 414.8 billion, respectively, with net profit forecasts raised to 94.6billion,94.6 billion, 107.3 billion, and 115.8billion[3][13].ThetargetpriceforGooglehasbeenraisedto115.8 billion [3][13]. - The target price for Google has been raised to 208, with a P/E ratio of 24X for 2025, corresponding to a target market capitalization of $2.58 trillion [3][13].