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谷歌-A:FY24Q2业绩点评:搜索与云业务增势良好,对AI投入乐观
GOOGLAlphabet(GOOGL) 国泰君安·2024-07-25 09:01

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Google (GOOGL US) with a target price of 208[2][3]CoreViewsGooglesFY24Q2revenueandprofitslightlyexceededexpectations,drivenbystrongperformanceinsearchandcloudbusinesses[1]AIisidentifiedasakeygrowthdriver,withthecompanyoptimisticaboutAIprospects[1]FY24Q2revenuereached208 [2][3] Core Views - Google's FY24Q2 revenue and profit slightly exceeded expectations, driven by strong performance in search and cloud businesses [1] - AI is identified as a key growth driver, with the company optimistic about AI prospects [1] - FY24Q2 revenue reached 84 74 billion, up 14% YoY, surpassing market expectations of 8437billion[2]AdjustedEPSforFY24Q2was84 37 billion [2] - Adjusted EPS for FY24Q2 was 1 89, up 31% YoY, slightly above the market expectation of 184[2]Operatingmarginimprovedto321 84 [2] - Operating margin improved to 32%, up 3 2 percentage points YoY, due to effective cost and expense control [2] Business Segment Performance - Google Services revenue grew 11 5% YoY to 73 9 billion in FY24Q2 [2] - Search advertising revenue reached 646billion,up1164 6 billion, up 11% YoY, driven by retail and financial advertising growth [2] - YouTube advertising revenue grew 13% YoY, while Google Network revenue declined 5 2% [2] - Google Cloud revenue surged 29% YoY to 10 3 billion, achieving 1billioninoperatingprofit[2]AIinfrastructureandgenerativeAIsolutionshavegeneratedbillionsinrevenue,withover2milliondevelopersusingtheseservices[2]FinancialProjectionsRevenueforecastsforFY2024EFY2026Eadjustedto1 billion in operating profit [2] - AI infrastructure and generative AI solutions have generated billions in revenue, with over 2 million developers using these services [2] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for FY2024E-FY2026E adjusted to 349 5/3830/383 0/414 8 billion (previous 3567/356 7/393 0/4279billion)[2]NetprofitforecastsforFY2024EFY2026Eraisedto427 9 billion) [2] - Net profit forecasts for FY2024E-FY2026E raised to 94 6/1073/107 3/115 8 billion (previous 866/86 6/98 6/1067billion)[2]2025P/Eratiosetat24X,implyingatargetmarketcapitalizationof106 7 billion) [2] - 2025 P/E ratio set at 24X, implying a target market capitalization of 2 58 trillion [2] Capital Expenditure - FY24Q2 CAPEX reached 132billion,up9113 2 billion, up 91% YoY, driven by infrastructure needs [12] - The company expects quarterly CAPEX to remain at or slightly above 12 billion for FY2024 [1][2] Market Data - Current stock price: 18360[3]52weekpricerange:183 60 [3] - 52-week price range: 121 26-19331[4]Currentmarketcapitalization:193 31 [4] - Current market capitalization: 2 27 trillion [4]