Core Conclusions - The report emphasizes the importance of the "accelerated replacement and upgrade" strategy for domestic economic support and corresponding investment opportunities, particularly in sectors such as energy, elevators, shipping, agricultural machinery, new energy buses, and household appliances [13][54]. Policy Framework - The "1+N" policy framework is being established to support large-scale equipment updates and the replacement of consumer goods, with the "1" representing the overall action plan and "N" denoting specific implementation plans across various sectors [28][54]. - The State Council has set a target for equipment investment in various sectors to increase by over 25% by 2027 compared to 2023 levels, with specific measures to enhance financial, tax, and standardization support [29][53]. Market Space - The projected market increment for 2024 is estimated at 707.9 billion, which is expected to boost GDP by 0.56 percentage points [18][24]. - Investment in equipment updates is forecasted to reach 312.4 billion in 2024, with a total investment of 1.3613 trillion by 2027 [15]. Industry Opportunities - The report identifies significant opportunities in mechanical equipment, petrochemicals, energy, automotive, and household appliances due to the demand for equipment updates and consumer replacements [49]. - Specific sectors highlighted include high-speed rail, shipping, industrial machinery, and household appliances, which are expected to benefit from government support and market demand [2][49]. Implementation Measures - The report outlines various measures to facilitate equipment updates, including financial support, tax incentives, and streamlined approval processes for projects [54]. - Key areas for equipment updates include industrial machinery, agricultural machinery, energy-efficient appliances, and transportation vehicles, with specific subsidies and support mechanisms detailed for each category [54][55].
策略深度报告:更新换新:政策保障、市场空间和行业机会
Huaxin Securities·2024-07-29 01:00