日度策略参考

Group 1: Market Trends - The stock index is expected to experience fluctuations, with a warning of potential adjustments due to weakened capital support after upcoming meetings. The recommendation is to maintain light positions and adopt a wait-and-see approach in the medium term as no new driving factors have been identified in the fundamentals or policies [2]. - The bond market is viewed positively due to asset scarcity and weak economic conditions, although short-term interest rate risks from the central bank may suppress upward potential. Long-term benefits are anticipated from potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2]. - Gold prices are expected to fluctuate due to ongoing geopolitical risks, while silver prices may experience weak fluctuations amid rising recession concerns and increased market uncertainty [2]. Group 2: Commodity Insights - Copper prices are under pressure from weak downstream demand during the consumption off-season, but there is potential for stabilization once market sentiment improves [2]. - Aluminum prices are expected to maintain weak fluctuations due to continuous declines in electrolytic aluminum prices and compressed profits for aluminum plants [2]. - Zinc prices are entering a phase of fluctuation due to weak macro sentiment and demand-side contradictions, with a focus on low-buy opportunities once market sentiment stabilizes [2]. Group 3: Agricultural Products - The corn market lacks strong bullish support, with significant supply pressure and no notable improvement in downstream demand [2]. - Soybean meal is expected to remain weak due to insufficient bullish sentiment and strong supply pressure from the soybean harvest [2]. - The pork market is seeing an increase in the breeding sow population, indicating a gradual easing of supply-demand tensions, with a notable improvement in piglet survival rates [2].