Industry Rating - The industry is rated as Overweight [1] Core Views - Hydrogen is a versatile energy source with applications in multiple sectors including industrial, residential, and transportation [9] - The global hydrogen demand is expected to grow significantly, driven by decarbonization trends and the rise of new applications in transportation and power sectors [3] - Electrolyzers, particularly AWE and PEM technologies, are key to green hydrogen production, with China leading in global electrolyzer capacity [3][4] - The cost of green hydrogen production is expected to decline, with China playing a crucial role in reducing costs due to its lower equipment and production costs [14] Electrolyzer Technology Analysis - AWE (Alkaline Water Electrolysis) and PEM (Proton Exchange Membrane) are the most mature and commercially viable electrolyzer technologies [28] - AWE is cost-effective and widely used, but it struggles with intermittent power sources and slow start-stop cycles [35] - PEM offers higher efficiency and faster response times but relies on expensive materials like platinum and iridium [28] - AEM (Anion Exchange Membrane) and SOEC (Solid Oxide Electrolysis) are still in the early stages of commercialization, with AEM showing potential for cost reduction and SOEC offering high efficiency at high temperatures [28] Market and Capacity - China dominates the global electrolyzer market, accounting for 66% of the global nominal capacity in 2023 [4] - Europe is also a significant player, particularly in PEM technology, with plans to expand capacity [4] - Global electrolyzer capacity is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 175-420 GW by 2030 [3] Key Companies - Sinopec Machinery (000852.SZ): A major player in the AWE electrolyzer market with a strong focus on domestic production and cost efficiency [7] - CIMC Enric (03899.HK): A leading company in hydrogen storage and transportation, with a growing presence in the electrolyzer market [7] - Huadian Heavy Industries (601226.SH): Focused on large-scale electrolyzer projects, particularly in the AWE segment [7] - Huaguang Energy (600475.SH): Engaged in the development of hydrogen energy projects, including electrolyzer production [7] - Dongyue Group (0189.HK): A key player in the PEM electrolyzer market, with a focus on membrane and catalyst production [7] Industry Trends - The hydrogen industry is expected to see rapid growth in industrial applications, particularly in green hydrogen substitution for gray hydrogen in chemical and metallurgical sectors [5] - The transportation sector, especially hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, is expected to grow significantly in the medium to long term [5] - The cost of hydrogen production is expected to decrease, driven by technological advancements and economies of scale, particularly in China [14] - Trade barriers and international cooperation will play a crucial role in the global hydrogen market, with China's supply chain being a key factor in cost reduction [5]
氢能产业深度报告(1):电解槽专题:氢风徐来 百花绽放,朔源而上 千树结果
AVIC Securities·2024-07-30 23:30