China Tianying(000035) 德邦证券·2024-08-01 01:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Tianying (000035.SZ) [2] Core Views - The company has signed a cooperation framework agreement with CRRC Zhuzhou Institute and CRRC Jin控 to jointly develop various forms of new energy projects, enhance equipment order cooperation, and explore new markets [3] - The company expects a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2024, projected to be between 352 million and 395 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 114.02% to 140.17% [3] - The company's main business in waste incineration is expected to support steady growth, with 20 operational waste-to-energy projects by the end of 2023, processing a total of 21,550 tons of waste per day [3] - The report forecasts steady revenue growth driven by the "Environmental + New Energy" dual-engine development strategy, with projected revenues of 8.743 billion yuan, 11.016 billion yuan, and 13.611 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 64.2%, 26%, and 23.6% [3] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The current price of the stock is 4.41 yuan, with a total market capitalization of approximately 11.13 billion yuan [2][8] - The stock has experienced a significant decline of 67.4% year-on-year as of 2023 [8] Financial Data and Forecasts - The company anticipates a net profit of 815 million yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 141.6% compared to 2023 [9][10] - Revenue for 2023 is expected to be 5.324 billion yuan, with a projected increase to 8.743 billion yuan in 2024 [10] - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 24.7% in 2024, with net profit margins improving to 9.3% [10] Cash Flow Analysis - The operating cash flow is projected to increase significantly from 481 million yuan in 2023 to 1.913 billion yuan in 2024 [9] - The net cash flow is expected to turn positive in 2024, reaching 49 million yuan [9] Key Financial Ratios - The report highlights a projected P/E ratio of 13.66 for 2024, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [10] - The company's return on equity is expected to rise to 8.0% in 2024, reflecting improved profitability [10]