国际宏观资讯双周报

Economic Insights - The Federal Reserve signaled a potential interest rate cut in September, maintaining the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5%[9] - In July, the U.S. non-farm payrolls added 114,000 jobs, significantly below the previous month's 206,000, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.3%[10] - The Bank of Canada cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.5%, marking the second consecutive rate cut[11] - The Bank of England lowered its main interest rate by 0.25% to 5%, the first cut since the pandemic began[12] Market Reactions - Following Japan's unexpected interest rate hike to 0.25%, the Nikkei 225 index plummeted by 12.4%, erasing all gains for the year[3] - The Japanese yen appreciated sharply, leading to significant volatility in Asian stock markets, with South Korea and Turkey experiencing market halts[3][4] Inflation and Debt Concerns - The U.S. federal debt surpassed $35 trillion, with a projected budget deficit of $1.9 trillion for FY 2024, up 27% from earlier estimates[20] - In Bangladesh, inflation reached a decade-high of 9.73%, exacerbated by rising living costs and unemployment rates[8] International Developments - The EU transferred $1.6 billion from frozen Russian assets to Ukraine to support military purchases[33] - Turkey's trade deficit decreased by 30.5% in the first half of the year, with the World Bank approving $3.7 billion in financing for the country[36]