Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Beike-W (2423.HK), with a market price of HKD 34.35 [1]. Core Insights - Beike is the largest real estate transaction and service platform in China, leveraging its ACN network infrastructure to efficiently provide various real estate services [4][9]. - The residential market is expanding, with the market size growing from CNY 25.4 trillion in 2016 to CNY 39.6 trillion in 2021, and projected to reach CNY 55.7 trillion by 2026 [25]. - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing penetration of real estate brokerage services, which rose from 43.2% in 2016 to 49.8% in 2021, and is forecasted to reach 61.6% by 2026 [4][28]. Financial Performance - In 2023, the total transaction volume reached CNY 31,429 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.4%, with operating revenue of CNY 777.8 billion, up 28.2% [5][31]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was CNY 51.2 billion, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 349.2% [5]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 27.9%, an increase of 5.2 percentage points from the previous year [5]. Business Segments - The company’s core businesses include existing home transactions, new home transactions, home decoration, and emerging businesses, with significant growth in home decoration and rental management [4][31]. - The revenue from existing home transactions grew by 15.9% in 2023, while new home transactions saw a 6.7% increase [31]. - Home decoration and emerging businesses contributed significantly to revenue growth, with their shares rising to 14.0% and 10.8% of total revenue, respectively [5][31]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates that the company’s net profit will reach CNY 78.1 billion, CNY 99.0 billion, and CNY 112.8 billion for the years 2024 to 2026, respectively [5]. - The current price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 14.8x for 2024, 11.7x for 2025, and 10.2x for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation [5].
贝壳-W：品质居住服务平台，“一体三翼”加速升级