BeiGene-百济神州：销售超出预期并实现非 GAAP 盈利能力

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BeiGene, with a target price adjustment from $269.73 to$ 288.93 [2][18]. Core Insights - BeiGene's product sales exceeded expectations, recording $921 million in Q2 2024, representing a 23% quarter-over-quarter growth and a 66% year-over-year increase [1][2]. - The company achieved non-GAAP profitability, with a significant reduction in net loss to$ 120 million in Q2 2024 from $251 million in Q1 2024 [2][3]. - Strong sales momentum for Zanubrutinib (Zanu) was noted, with Q2 sales reaching$ 637 million, a 30% increase quarter-over-quarter and a 107% increase year-over-year [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total product sales for the first half of 2024 reached $1.67 billion, accounting for 51.4% of the previously estimated total for fiscal year 2024 [1][2]. - The gross profit margin increased to 85.0% in Q2 2024 from 83.3% in Q1 2024, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin sales [2][3]. - The SG&A ratio decreased to 48% in Q2 2024 from 57% in Q1 2024, indicating improved operational efficiency [2][3]. Market Position and Growth Potential - Zanu captured approximately 24% of the global BTK inhibitor market in Q2 2024, up from 20% in Q1 2024, with expectations to reach$ 2.6 billion in sales for FY24, a 102% year-over-year increase [2][3]. - The report highlights the potential of upcoming clinical trials for Sonrotoclax and BGB-16673, which are expected to drive future growth [2][3]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve breakeven in FY25E, supported by strong sales growth and improving operating margins [2][3]. - Revenue estimates for FY24E, FY25E, and FY26E are $3.87 billion,$ 5.49 billion, and $6.99 billion, respectively, with a focus on continued product sales growth [3][12].