Xinyangfeng Agricultural(000902) 西部证券·2024-08-12 06:55Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 11.64 [2][4] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 8.419 billion in 24H1, a year-on-year increase of 5%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 738 million, a year-on-year increase of 7% [1] - In 24Q2, the company achieved revenue of 5.084 billion, a year-on-year increase of 40%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 394 million, a year-on-year increase of 40% [1] - The company's compound fertilizer sales volume increased by 12.38% year-on-year in 24H1, with ordinary compound fertilizer sales up 10.16% and new compound fertilizer sales up 19.45% [1] - The company's gross profit margin and net profit margin in 24H1 were 16.06% and 8.79%, respectively, up 1.17 and 0.14 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The company has formed an integrated industrial chain advantage, with an annual production capacity of 9.83 million tons of high-concentration phosphate compound fertilizers, 900,000 tons of phosphate rock, and 50,000 tons of lithium iron phosphate [1] Financial Projections - The report forecasts the company's net profit attributable to the parent company for 24-26 to be 1.392 billion, 1.594 billion, and 1.907 billion, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.5x, 9.2x, and 7.7x [2] - The company's revenue is expected to grow by 6.6%, 4.5%, and 5.1% in 24-26, respectively [2] - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow by 15.4%, 14.5%, and 19.7% in 24-26, respectively [2] Industry Outlook - The compound fertilizer industry is expected to recover in 24H1, with the company's volume and profit expected to rebound [1] - The company's upstream phosphate rock layout is expected to further expand, enhancing its integrated industrial chain advantage [1]