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汽车行业调光玻璃行业专题:天幕玻璃带动调光玻璃需求,国产厂商突破瓶颈实现价格下探
东北证券·2024-08-13 06:31

Industry Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the automotive smart glass industry, specifically focusing on the smart dimming glass segment [1][5] Core Viewpoints - The smart dimming glass industry is at an inflection point, driven by both supply and demand factors [13] - Demand is increasing due to the rising penetration of panoramic sunroofs, which create a need for better heat insulation solutions [13] - Supply-side improvements include domestic manufacturers breaking through technical bottlenecks and achieving price reductions [13] - Smart dimming glass is considered the best heat insulation solution, with penetration rates expected to rise as prices continue to decline [3][20] Market and Industry Data - The automotive glass industry has 266 constituent stocks with a total market capitalization of 2,858.3 billion CNY and a circulating market cap of 1,241.9 billion CNY [1] - The industry's average P/E ratio is 24.96x, and the P/B ratio is 1.86x [1] - Total revenue of constituent companies is 3,698.1 billion CNY, with a net profit of 130.4 billion CNY and an asset-liability ratio of 61.23% [1] Key Companies and Financials - Fuyao Glass is highlighted as a key player, with a current price of 45.23 CNY and a "Buy" rating [1] - Fuyao Glass has a projected EPS of 2.16 CNY for 2023, 2.71 CNY for 2024, and 3.22 CNY for 2025 [1] - The company's P/E ratios are 20.94x for 2023, 16.69x for 2024, and 14.05x for 2025 [1] Technology Paths and Market Space - The smart dimming glass industry has multiple technology paths, including PDLC, EC, SPD, and LC/Dye LC [23][24] - The market space for smart dimming glass is expected to grow, with a steady-state penetration rate of 10%-12% in the Chinese market [44] - The industry is transitioning from a niche market for luxury vehicles to broader adoption, driven by price reductions and technological advancements [13][20] Competitive Landscape - Domestic manufacturers like Fuyao Glass, Longsheng Optoelectronics, and BOE are leading the charge in smart dimming glass technology [46][49][50] - International players such as Polytronix, Gauzy, and Research Frontiers also have significant market presence [46][52] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with domestic suppliers gaining market share through technological breakthroughs and cost reductions [13][20] Fuyao Glass's Strategic Position - Fuyao Glass holds a dominant position in the global automotive glass market, with a 33% market share in 2023 [55] - The company is expanding its overseas operations, particularly in the US, where its revenue and profitability are growing [55] - Fuyao Glass is also investing in high-value-added products like smart dimming glass, which is expected to drive future growth [55][58]