Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking the first coverage [3]. Core Insights - The company's revenue and profit showed significant improvement in Q2 2024, with a Q2 revenue of 1.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 19.4% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 86.8% [2]. - The company achieved a net profit of 770 million yuan in Q2 2024, down 30.6% year-on-year but up 45.1% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The report highlights the recovery in potassium chloride sales and substantial growth in investment income from the copper mining sector [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2024, the company reported total revenue of 1.762 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 37.0%, and a net profit of 1.297 billion yuan, down 36.0% year-on-year [2]. - The average price of potassium chloride was 2,265.4 yuan/ton, reflecting a 26.5% year-on-year decline, while sales volume for potassium chloride reached 540,000 tons, down 8.4% year-on-year [2]. - The company’s investment income from Jilong Copper Industry reached 860 million yuan in H1 2024, marking a 46.1% year-on-year increase [2]. Project Development Summary - The Mali Mico Salt Lake project is progressing with the completion of site selection and preliminary land leveling [3]. - The Laos project has received government approval for its exploration report, estimating a total potassium salt resource of 6.285 billion tons, including 970 million tons of potassium chloride [3]. - The company is advancing the acquisition of a 34% stake in Tibet Zangqing Fund, with the second payment completed as per the agreement [3]. Earnings Forecast - Projected revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 3.47 billion yuan, 3.69 billion yuan, and 4.34 billion yuan, respectively [6]. - Expected net profits for the same years are 2.59 billion yuan, 2.87 billion yuan, and 3.99 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 1.64 yuan, 1.82 yuan, and 2.52 yuan [6].
藏格矿业:2024年中报点评:钾肥销量恢复,铜矿投资收益高增长