Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of JD Logistics (2618 HK) to "Buy" [5][6][16] Core Insights - JD Logistics reported a significant improvement in profits for Q2 2024, with a notable increase in gross margin, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency. The revenue growth is expected to be in line with current forecasts, and the company's valuation remains below the industry average [5][6] - The target price has been raised to HKD 11.3 based on a 13x P/E ratio for 2024, indicating a potential upside of 45.2% from the current price [5][16] Revenue and Profit Summary - For Q2 2024, total revenue reached RMB 44.2 billion, an 8% year-on-year increase, with adjusted net profit soaring to RMB 2.5 billion, nearly doubling from the previous year, achieving a net profit margin of 5.6%, the highest since the company went public [5][7][11] - The gross profit margin improved by 3.6 percentage points, primarily due to a reduction in outsourcing costs as a percentage of revenue [5][8] Financial Forecast Adjustments - The revenue forecast for 2024 has been slightly adjusted to reflect an 8% year-on-year growth, while the adjusted net profit forecast has been increased by 16%, resulting in a profit margin of 2.8% [5][12] - The company aims to continue optimizing its network structure and enhancing technological capabilities to achieve steady profit growth [5][12] Financial Performance Metrics - The report highlights that JD Logistics' current price corresponds to a 10x P/E ratio for 2024, which is below the industry average, reinforcing the rationale for the upgraded rating and target price [5][12][18] - The financial data indicates a projected revenue of RMB 180.6 billion for 2024, with a gross profit of RMB 16.8 billion and a net profit of RMB 3.3 billion [18][19]
京东物流：高质量利润改善好于预期，上调评级至买入