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银河娱乐:2024年二季报点评:控费与营销举措发力,市场份额持续提升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Galaxy Entertainment [1] Core Views - The company's performance slightly exceeded expectations, with cost control measures expected to continue reducing expense ratios and improving EBITDA profit margins [2] - In Q2 2024, the company achieved net revenue of HKD 10.92 billion, recovering to 82.8% of Q2 2019 levels, with gaming and non-gaming revenues at HKD 8.60 billion and HKD 1.48 billion respectively [2][3] - The company is focusing on enhancing its non-gaming family entertainment offerings to strengthen long-term competitiveness [3] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are HKD 45.62 billion, HKD 50.31 billion, and HKD 53.49 billion respectively, with adjusted property EBITDA forecasts of HKD 12.75 billion, HKD 15.38 billion, and HKD 16.66 billion [3] - The current stock price corresponds to EV/EBITDA multiples of 9.1, 7.6, and 7.0 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [3] - The target price is set at HKD 46.6 [3] Market Share and Performance - The company's total gaming revenue in Q2 2024 was HKD 10.34 billion, recovering to 68.0% of Q2 2019 levels, with market share increasing to 18.9% [3] - The VIP gaming revenue recovery is slower than the industry average, but the company has increased its market share by 1.5 percentage points to 10.8% [3] Investment in Infrastructure - The company invested HKD 1.1 billion in property renovations in Q2, with significant funds allocated to the construction of Galaxy Phase 3 and 4, aiming to attract high-value customers [3]