NOBLIFT(603611) 西南证券·2024-08-22 12:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][2]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.47 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 240 million yuan, up 8.3% year-on-year. In the second quarter, revenue was 1.72 billion yuan, also growing by 3.6% year-on-year, but down 1.8% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for the second quarter was 130 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.2% [1]. - The domestic forklift demand remained stable, while overseas demand improved. The company's large vehicle segment continued to show high growth, and the three categories of vehicles saw significant year-on-year improvements, with the forklift segment driving steady revenue growth [1]. - The company effectively managed costs, resulting in a stable increase in net profit margin. The overall gross margin for the first half of 2024 was 21.8%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 6.8%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year. The decrease in gross margin was mainly due to changes in product structure and an increase in the revenue share of secondary vehicles [1]. - The electrification rate of large vehicles has significantly improved, with sales of first, second, and third category forklifts increasing by 19.0%, 22.6%, and 25.6% year-on-year, respectively. The overall industry electrification rate reached 70.8%, up 2.9 percentage points from the end of 2023, while the electrification rate for large vehicles reached 32.0%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points [1]. - The company's French subsidiary is empowering the integration of resources, with successful integration of the system integration business. The company has strengthened control over its domestic and overseas subsidiaries, enhancing technical upgrades and adjusting business structures [1]. Financial Forecasts - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 530 million yuan, 610 million yuan, and 720 million yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively. The compound annual growth rate of net profit over the next three years is projected to be 16.5% [2][5]. - Revenue forecasts for the years 2024 to 2026 are 6.96 billion yuan, 7.58 billion yuan, and 8.40 billion yuan, with growth rates of 8.89%, 10.82%, and 12.76%, respectively [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.78 yuan, 2.04 yuan, 2.37 yuan, and 2.81 yuan for the years 2024 to 2026 [5]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to remain stable at around 17.20% to 17.83% over the forecast period [5].