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药明生物:在充满挑战的环境中保持强劲的性能
Zhao Yin Guo Ji·2024-08-23 03:23

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for WuXi Bio, reflecting a potential upside in the stock price despite geopolitical uncertainties [1]. Core Insights - WuXi Bio reported a revenue of RMB 8.57 billion for the first half of fiscal year 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.0%. The adjusted net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 2.25 billion, a decline of 20.7% year-on-year [1]. - The company has confirmed its full-year guidance for 2024, expecting both revenue and adjusted net profit to achieve high single-digit growth [1]. - Strong demand from overseas clients is evident, with 61 new integrated projects added in the first half of 2024, including 52 preclinical and 5 I/II clinical projects [1]. - The bioconjugate business has emerged as a significant growth driver, with WuXi XDC's revenue increasing by 68% and adjusted net profit soaring by 147% in the first half of 2024 [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for FY 2024 is projected at RMB 17.86 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.9% [2]. - Adjusted net profit for FY 2024 is estimated at RMB 4.51 billion, reflecting a decline of 4.1% year-on-year [2]. - The company’s earnings per share (adjusted) for FY 2024 is expected to be RMB 1.09, with a projected P/E ratio of 8.8x [2][8]. Market Dynamics - North America accounted for 58.4% of total revenue in the first half of 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 27.5%, primarily driven by U.S. clients [1]. - The total order backlog remained stable at USD 20.11 billion, with a 4% growth over three years [1]. Valuation - The target price has been adjusted from HKD 18.32 to HKD 13.58, indicating a potential decline of 30.6% from the current price of HKD 10.40 [2]. - The report utilizes a 10-year DCF model with a WACC of 10.95% and a terminal growth rate of 2.0% [1][9].