JINGXIN(002020) 首创证券·2024-08-23 08:33Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Jingxin Pharmaceutical (002020) [1] Core Views - Jingxin Pharmaceutical achieved revenue of 2.15 billion yuan (+11.02% YoY) and net profit attributable to shareholders of 402 million yuan (+27.28% YoY) in H1 2024 [2] - Finished drugs returned to growth trajectory, with revenue reaching 1.301 billion yuan (+17.13% YoY) in H1 2024 [2] - Domestic sales of finished drugs grew approximately 16% YoY, while revenue from out-of-hospital markets surged over 80% YoY [2] - The company's new sales system is expected to drive further growth in generic drugs in primary and out-of-hospital markets [2] - Didaxinib capsules, launched in March 2024, have been introduced in over 200 hospitals and are expected to contribute to performance from H2 2024 [2] - Operating efficiency continues to improve, with sales expenses decreasing by 3.63% YoY to 384 million yuan in H1 2024 [2] - New production capacity expansions in Xinchang Daming and Shandong chemical bases have been completed and put into operation [2] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to reach 4.417 billion yuan (+10.5% YoY) in 2024, 4.948 billion yuan (+12.0% YoY) in 2025, and 5.505 billion yuan (+11.3% YoY) in 2026 [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted at 730 million yuan (+17.9% YoY) in 2024, 798 million yuan (+9.4% YoY) in 2025, and 917 million yuan (+14.8% YoY) in 2026 [2] - EPS is expected to be 0.85 yuan in 2024, 0.93 yuan in 2025, and 1.06 yuan in 2026 [2] - Current PE ratios are 13.4x for 2024, 12.3x for 2025, and 10.7x for 2026 [2] Company Fundamentals - Latest closing price: 11.37 yuan [5] - 52-week high/low: 14.95 yuan/7.98 yuan [5] - Current PE ratio: 13.88x [5] - Current PB ratio: 1.73x [5] - Total shares outstanding: 861 million [5] - Market capitalization: 9.79 billion yuan [5] Financial Ratios - Gross margin: 50.6% in 2023, projected to increase to 53.4% by 2026 [5] - Net margin: 15.6% in 2023, expected to reach 16.8% by 2026 [5] - ROE: 11.2% in 2023, forecasted to remain stable around 11.5% by 2026 [5] - ROIC: 14.0% in 2023, projected to reach 16.5% by 2024 and maintain through 2026 [5] - Debt-to-asset ratio: 30.6% in 2023, expected to decrease to 26.0% by 2026 [5]