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产业经济周观点:看好出海链,关注成长估值修复
Huafu Securities·2024-08-26 13:17

Group 1 - The report highlights a stable outlook for the US economy, with expectations of a loose monetary policy and a steady global economic environment. Long-term, there may be limited room for interest rate cuts in the US [1][10] - Global manufacturing is in an upward cycle, and as the US economic outlook stabilizes, global manufacturing is expected to recover as well [1][10] - The report emphasizes the importance of exports in driving domestic manufacturing recovery in China, particularly focusing on capital goods and emerging market countries [1][10] Group 2 - The report suggests a potential short-term rebound in trading, with a focus on the valuation recovery of growth sectors, particularly high-end manufacturing leaders [1][11] - Key sectors to watch include semiconductor equipment, domestic replacement leaders, banking, automotive lithium batteries, wind and solar exports, pharmaceuticals, engineering machinery, shipbuilding, copper smelting, aluminum processing, and traditional manufacturing leaders [1][11] - The report indicates that financial and real estate sectors have shown gains, while other sectors have declined [11][16]