SUNNY OPTICAL(02382) 浦银国际证券·2024-08-26 13:48Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Sunny Optical Technology (2382.HK) with a target price of HKD 57.0, indicating a potential upside of 20% [1]. Core Views - The report highlights a solid recovery in the smartphone business driven by a resurgence in demand, improved camera specifications, and a more favorable competitive landscape, which is expected to lead to a strong profit recovery [1]. - The automotive business is projected to provide stable growth, while the XR business is anticipated to return to a growth trend, contributing to an optimistic outlook for the next two years [1]. - The report forecasts a 112% year-on-year increase in net profit for the current year, supported by a low base effect [1]. Summary by Sections Smartphone Business - Expected stable shipment volume for camera modules this year, with average selling prices increasing by 10%-15% year-on-year and gross margins improving to 6%-10% in the second half of the year [1]. - Anticipated 5%-10% year-on-year growth in smartphone lens shipments, with gross margins expected to improve from 20% to 20%-25% [1]. Automotive Business - Projected 10%-15% year-on-year growth in automotive lens shipments, with stable gross margins around 40% [1]. - The company has a backlog of orders worth RMB 10 billion for automotive modules, with expected revenue of RMB 2 billion for the year [1]. XR Business - The revenue growth forecast for the XR business has been raised to 25% for the year [1]. Valuation - The report employs a sum-of-the-parts valuation method, assigning target P/E ratios of 17x for smartphone camera modules, 17x for smartphone lenses, 36x for automotive lenses, and 25x for other businesses, leading to a target price of HKD 57.0 [1].