Minsheng Securities·2024-08-26 14:24Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][3]. Core Insights - The company achieved record performance in H1 2024, with revenue of 102.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.6%, and a net profit of 5.42 billion yuan, up 670.4% year-on-year [2][8]. - The significant profit growth is attributed to the increase in both volume and price of copper and cobalt products, with gross profit rising by 15.17 billion yuan [2][14]. - The company has exceeded production expectations for copper and cobalt, achieving 31.38 and 5.40 million tons respectively in H1 2024, which is 57.58% and 83.08% of the annual target [23][42]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company reported revenue of 102.8 billion yuan, with mining contributing 31.44 billion yuan and trading 71.38 billion yuan, marking a 34% increase in revenue for Q2 compared to the previous quarter [2][8]. - The net profit for H1 2024 was 5.42 billion yuan, with Q2 net profit reaching 3.35 billion yuan, reflecting a 767% year-on-year increase [2][8]. Production and Sales - The copper and cobalt production in H1 2024 was significantly higher than expected, with copper production at 31.38 million tons (up 100.74% year-on-year) and cobalt at 5.40 million tons (up 178.22% year-on-year) [23][42]. - The company’s trading segment also performed well, with net profit increasing by 116.67% to 6.63 billion yuan [22][27]. Price Trends - The average price for copper in H1 2024 was 9,090 USD/ton, a 4.45% increase year-on-year, while cobalt prices fell by 20.44% to 12.22 USD/pound [19][20]. - The company’s gross margin improved significantly, particularly in the copper segment, which saw a gross margin of 52.4% [19][28]. Future Outlook - The company aims to increase copper production to 80-100 million tons and cobalt to 9-10 million tons by 2028, with a projected CAGR of 16.5% for copper and 11.3% for cobalt from 2023 to 2028 [42]. - The ongoing development of the TFM and KFM mines is expected to contribute significantly to future production increases [42].