Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China National Heavy Duty Truck Group Co., Ltd. (3808.HK) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 48.82 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, representing an 18.0% year-on-year increase, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.29 billion yuan, up 39.7% year-on-year [2] - The company announced an interim dividend plan, proposing a dividend of 0.66 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of 55%, totaling approximately 1.82 billion yuan [2] - The company has solidified its leading position in the heavy-duty truck market, with a significant increase in natural gas truck sales, achieving a volume of 28,000 units, a 273% increase year-on-year, and a market share of 25.6% [2] - The export of heavy-duty trucks has also seen growth, with the company exporting 68,000 units in the first half of 2024, capturing over 40% of the export market [2] - The company is focusing on new energy vehicles, with a 309% increase in sales of new energy heavy-duty trucks and a 186.1% increase in new energy light trucks [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for FY2024 is projected to reach 85.50 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 44.20% [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 5.32 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 196.01% [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 1.93 yuan in FY2023 to 2.97 yuan in FY2026 [4] Market Position - The company has achieved a market share of 40.2% in AMT models and 42.0% in high-end specialized vehicles, both ranking first in the industry [2] - The heavy-duty truck sales volume reached 125,000 units in the first half of 2024, with a market share of 24.8%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] Future Outlook - The company expects net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 6.50 billion, 7.19 billion, and 8.20 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 8, 7, and 6 [3]
中国重汽：把握重卡结构性机遇，收入利润双增长