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陕鼓动力:2024年半年报点评:24H1业绩承压,设备订货同比增长26.8%

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's 24H1 performance was under pressure, with equipment orders increasing by 26.8% YoY [1] - Gas business accounted for a larger proportion, with excellent profitability [1] - Gas business grew steadily, with equipment sales orders increasing by 26.8% YoY [1] - Compressor and nitric acid unit technologies are internationally leading, with smooth expansion of compressed air energy storage business [1] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to the parent company of 11.2, 12.6, and 14.3 billion yuan from 2024 to 2026, with a compound growth rate of 12% [1] Financial Performance - 24H1 revenue was 5.0 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.5% YoY [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was 460 million yuan, a decrease of 13.3% YoY [1] - Single 24Q2 revenue was 2.51 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.4% YoY and an increase of 0.8% QoQ [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company in 24Q2 was 220 million yuan, a decrease of 16.0% YoY and a decrease of 4.6% QoQ [1] - Comprehensive gross margin in 24H1 was 23.4%, a decrease of 0.58pp YoY [1] - Net profit margin in 24H1 was 10.4%, a decrease of 0.56pp YoY [1] - Period expense ratio in 24H1 was 9.0%, an increase of 0.70pp YoY [1] Business Segments - Gas business revenue in 24H1 was 1.87 billion yuan, an increase of 17.4% YoY [1] - Gas business gross margin increased by 1.4pp to 17.7% [1] - Liquid production increased by 8.78% compared to the same period in 2023, reaching a historical high [1] - Energy conversion equipment revenue was 2.65 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.9% YoY [1] - Energy conversion system service revenue was 490 million yuan, a decrease of 47.5% YoY [1] Technological Advancements - The company successfully broke the monopoly of foreign companies in the marine platform centrifugal compressor market [1] - Developed a centrifugal compressor suitable for small and medium-sized medium-pressure nitric acid plants [1] - The company has a 10MW-400MW compressed air energy storage system solution [1] - Successfully completed the trial run and grid connection of the world's first 300MW compressed air energy storage power station [1] Financial Forecast - Expected net profit attributable to the parent company from 2024 to 2026 is 11.2, 12.6, and 14.3 billion yuan [1] - Current stock price corresponds to a PE of 11, 10, and 9 times [1] - Compound growth rate of net profit attributable to the parent company over the next three years is 12% [1]