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太极集团24中报点评:高基数下业绩承压,看好公司长期发展

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2024 was under pressure due to a high base effect from the previous year, with revenue declining by 13.64% year-on-year to 7.817 billion yuan and net profit decreasing by 12.51% to 495 million yuan [4] - Despite the short-term challenges, the long-term outlook for the company remains positive, particularly following the acquisition by China National Pharmaceutical Group [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024H1, the company achieved revenue of 7.817 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.64% year-on-year, and a net profit of 495 million yuan, down 12.51% [4] - The second quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 3.61 billion yuan, a decline of 21.94%, and a net profit of 248 million yuan, down 25% [4] - The company's core products, including Huoxiang Zhengqi Oral Liquid and Jizhi Syrup, experienced significant growth in the first half of 2023, with year-on-year growth rates of 81.66% and 149.06% respectively [4] - The company’s pharmaceutical manufacturing segment reported sales of 5.079 billion yuan, down 19.77%, while the health segment saw a revenue increase of 79.63% to 265 million yuan [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for the company from 2024 to 2026 are 984 million yuan, 1.217 billion yuan, and 1.498 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 12, 10, and 8 times [5] - The report emphasizes the company's potential for sustained improvement under the new ownership structure [5] Market Performance Comparison - The company's stock has underperformed relative to the CSI 300 index, with absolute declines of 17.92% over the past month and 43.17% over the past three months [2]