Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 31.80 CNY over the next six months [1][7]. Core Views - The company's performance is currently under pressure due to lower-than-expected sales from downstream customers, impacting revenue and net profit [1]. - The company is actively enhancing its production capacity, particularly in integrated die-casting, which is expected to contribute significantly to future revenue growth [1]. - The report anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.53% for net profit over the next three years [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.53 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 11.6%, and a net profit of 220 million CNY, also down 11.6% [1]. - In Q2 2024, revenue was 750 million CNY, down 17.1% year-on-year and 3.6% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 100 million CNY, down 26.3% year-on-year and 9.4% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The gross margin for H1 2024 was 22.5%, a decline of 2.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 14.2%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Production Capacity and Strategy - The company is expanding its integrated die-casting capabilities, with four production lines in Jiangsu and Anhui now classified as fixed assets as of June 30, 2024 [1]. - A new production line is under construction in Changzhou, Jiangsu, expected to start mass production in 2025, with a projected sales value of 2.1 to 2.3 billion CNY over its lifecycle [1]. - The company is also investing 900 million CNY in a smart manufacturing base in Shanghai to enhance customer engagement and product demand [1]. Earnings Forecast - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 2.12 CNY, 2.46 CNY, and 2.81 CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9, 8, and 7 [1][6]. - Revenue is expected to grow to 4.18 billion CNY in 2025 and 6.25 billion CNY in 2026, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 20.05% and 24.53%, respectively [6][11].
多利科技：公司业绩短期承压，一体化压铸有待放量