Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 25.9 CNY, indicating an expected upside from the current price of 20.49 CNY [3]. Core Insights - The company's net profit for the first half of 2024 was 3.33 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 48.56%. Revenue also fell by 30.44% to 45.57 billion CNY [1]. - The decline in revenue was primarily attributed to a drop in cement prices, while the aggregate business showed growth with a revenue increase of 29.84% [1]. - The company has maintained a strong cash flow with a net cash position of 46.4 billion CNY and an asset-liability ratio of 19.5% [1]. Financial Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 18.92% for the first half of 2024, with a slight improvement in Q2 to 19.96% [1]. - The operating cash flow for the first half of 2024 was 6.87 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35% [1]. - The company has reduced its profit forecast for 2024-2026, now estimating net profits of 8.4 billion CNY, 10.5 billion CNY, and 12 billion CNY respectively [1]. Market Position - The company holds a market share of 14.8% in the cement sector, with a production capacity of 27.4 million tons of clinker and 39.9 million tons of cement [1]. - The report highlights the company's scale advantages and anticipates a potential recovery in cement prices due to industry self-discipline [1]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that the company's ongoing project developments and capacity expansions will support future growth, with significant capital expenditures planned [1]. - The anticipated recovery in cement prices is expected to positively impact the company's performance in the coming quarters [1].
海螺水泥:盈利仍在相对底部,期待行业供给端发力