HAITIAN INT'L(01882) 光大证券·2024-08-29 07:13Investment Rating - Maintains a "Buy" rating, with upward revisions to net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 by 4.2%/1.4%/0.1% to 3.0/3.25/3.53 billion RMB, respectively [5] Core Viewpoints - Downstream industry demand recovery drives steady performance growth, with overseas exports further boosting performance [1] - Global layout yields results, with the company achieving steady growth in revenue and net profit [2] - The company benefits from the recovery in demand for downstream industries such as consumer goods, home appliances, and 3C products, driving significant growth in its Mars and Changfeiya series [3] - Overseas market expansion and globalization strategy continue to drive performance growth, with significant sales increases in Southeast Asia, North America, and South America [4] Financial Performance - 2024H1 revenue reached 8.02 billion RMB, a 25.7% YoY increase, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.52 billion RMB, up 23.5% YoY [2] - Gross margin improved to 32.3%, up 0.3 percentage points YoY, while net margin slightly declined by 0.3 percentage points to 19.0% [2] - Revenue from injection molding machines increased by 26.2% YoY to 7.7 billion RMB, while parts and service revenue grew by 14.9% YoY to 320 million RMB [3] - Domestic revenue grew by 33.7% YoY to 5.18 billion RMB, and overseas revenue increased by 13.2% YoY to 2.84 billion RMB [4] Market and Industry Trends - The company is expected to benefit from the trend of energy-saving and intelligent injection molding machines, as well as the "Large-scale Equipment Renewal and Consumer Goods Replacement Action Plan" [3] - The global automotive industry, particularly the overseas capacity investment in new energy vehicles, supports stable growth in the company's Jupiter series [3] - The company's "Five-Five" strategy and overseas market layout across Asia, Europe, North America, and South America are expected to drive future growth [4] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 15.875 billion RMB in 2024E to 18.098 billion RMB in 2026E [11] - Net profit is expected to increase from 3.004 billion RMB in 2024E to 3.527 billion RMB in 2026E [11] - EPS is forecasted to rise from 1.88 RMB in 2024E to 2.21 RMB in 2026E [5] Valuation Metrics - P/E ratio is projected to decline from 14 in 2024E to 9 in 2026E [6] - P/B ratio is expected to decrease from 1.9 in 2024E to 1.2 in 2026E [6] - ROE (attributable to parent company) is forecasted to remain stable, ranging from 13.8% to 14.3% from 2024E to 2026E [6]