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养元饮品2024年中报点评:品牌势能稳固,渠道网络扩张
603156YANGYUAN(603156) 国元证券·2024-08-29 07:34

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][5] Core Views - The company's total revenue for H1 2024 was 2.942 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.02%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.030 billion yuan, an increase of 12.97% [2][3] - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue in Q2 2024, with total revenue of 626 million yuan, down 19.09% year-on-year, and a net profit of 151 million yuan, down 15.71% [2][3] - The direct sales channel showed rapid growth in H1 2024, with revenue increasing by 34.62% year-on-year, while the distribution channel saw a decline of 4.32% [3] - The company’s gross margin improved to 46.99% in H1 2024, up 1.86 percentage points year-on-year, contributing to an increase in net profit margin [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 29.42 billion yuan, with a net profit of 10.30 billion yuan, reflecting a 12.97% increase year-on-year [2][3] - The gross margin for H1 2024 was 46.99%, an increase of 1.86 percentage points compared to the previous year [4] - The company’s net profit for Q2 2024 was 1.51 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.71% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 46.29% [4] Regional Performance - The company’s revenue in the North China region increased by 18.54% year-on-year in H1 2024, while other regions such as East China and Central China saw declines [3] - In Q2 2024, the revenue from North China was 1.46 billion yuan, up 5.07% year-on-year, while East China experienced a decline of 16.11% [3] Channel Performance - Direct sales channel revenue grew significantly in H1 2024, while the distribution channel faced challenges, particularly in Q2 2024 [3] - The number of distributors increased to 2,125 by the end of H1 2024, reflecting ongoing optimization of the distributor structure [3] Profitability and Forecast - The report forecasts net profits of 1.558 billion yuan, 1.697 billion yuan, and 1.799 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with growth rates of 6.19%, 8.93%, and 5.98% [5]