Investment Rating - Strong Buy (Maintained) with a target price of HKD 16.6 [1] Core Views - Revenue growth in 1H24 was in line with expectations, with traditional exterior parts slightly exceeding expectations and battery box business slightly below expectations [1] - Net profit growth in 1H24 was in line with expectations, with stable gross margins and increased expenses due to rising freight costs [1] - Future growth is expected to be driven by the battery box business and other new products, with a stable growth outlook [1] - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2024-2025 to RMB 2.2 billion and RMB 2.58 billion, respectively, and introduced a 2026 forecast of RMB 3.1 billion [1] Financial Performance - 1H24 revenue: RMB 11.1 billion, +14% YoY, +2.9% QoQ [1] - 1H24 net profit: RMB 1.07 billion, +20% YoY, +5.1% QoQ [1] - Gross margin: 28.5%, +2.2PP YoY, flat QoQ [1] - Sales expense ratio: 4.8%, +0.8PP QoQ due to rising freight costs [1] - Management expense ratio: 6.7%, -1.0PP QoQ [1] - R&D expense ratio: 6.4%, -1.0PP QoQ [1] Business Segments - Traditional exterior parts revenue: RMB 7.8 billion, +10% YoY, -7% QoQ [1] - Metal and trim: RMB 2.5 billion, +1.2% YoY [1] - Plastic parts: RMB 2.8 billion, +14% YoY [1] - Aluminum parts: RMB 2.4 billion, +14% YoY [1] - Battery box and structural parts revenue: RMB 2.4 billion, +33% YoY, +24% QoQ [1] Future Outlook - Growth is expected to be driven by the battery box business and other new products [1] - The company is expanding its product categories in structural parts and traditional exterior parts to hedge against joint venture customers [1] - The company benefits from improved gross margins and expense ratios due to new business growth and the end of a high-intensity investment cycle [1] Valuation and Forecasts - 2024E revenue: RMB 24.123 billion, +17.5% YoY [2] - 2025E revenue: RMB 28.232 billion, +17.0% YoY [2] - 2026E revenue: RMB 33.091 billion, +17.2% YoY [2] - 2024E net profit: RMB 2.201 billion, +15.7% YoY [2] - 2025E net profit: RMB 2.577 billion, +17.1% YoY [2] - 2026E net profit: RMB 3.1 billion, +20.3% YoY [2] - 2024E PE: 5.9x, 2025E PE: 5.0x, 2026E PE: 4.2x [2]
敏实集团：2024年中报点评：1H24财报符合预期，稳健增长依然