旭升集团：二季度业绩短期承压，全球化布局逐步推进

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Hold" [4] Core Views - The company's Q2 performance is under pressure, with H1 2024 revenue at 2.15 billion yuan, down 8.9% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 260 million yuan, down 32.8% year-on-year [2][6] - Q2 2024 revenue was 1.01 billion yuan, down 14.9% year-on-year and 11.3% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit at 110 million yuan, down 46.5% year-on-year and 31.6% quarter-on-quarter [2][6] - The decline in performance is attributed to weaker-than-expected terminal sales from some vehicle and component customers [6] - The company is making progress in its global layout, with ongoing capacity expansion both domestically and overseas, which is expected to enhance global supply capabilities [2][6] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.15 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 260 million yuan, down 32.8% year-on-year [6] - Q2 2024 gross margin was 21.6%, down 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, and net profit margin was 10.6%, down 6.3 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company’s operating expenses increased, with a total expense ratio of 11.2%, up 7.8 percentage points year-on-year [6] Production and Capacity Expansion - The company is focusing on three main aluminum alloy forming processes: die-casting, forging, and extrusion, and is actively expanding its integrated business [6] - The company has secured multiple platform model projects in die-casting and has received project approvals for new products in forging and extrusion [6] - Domestic capacity expansion is supported by a convertible bond issuance of up to 2.8 billion yuan for new energy vehicle powertrain projects and lightweight automotive components [6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 5.45 billion yuan, 6.74 billion yuan, and 8.05 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.7%, 23.7%, and 19.4% respectively [6][7] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 720 million yuan, 871 million yuan, and 1.06 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.9%, 20.9%, and 21.4% respectively [6][7]