Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shenzhen International (0152.HK) [2][3] Core Views - The company's 2024 interim performance met expectations, with total revenue of HKD 6.61 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.5%. Excluding construction service revenue from toll roads, revenue was HKD 6.30 billion, down 3% year-on-year. Shareholder profit reached HKD 653 million, a significant increase of 609.1% year-on-year, slightly above the previous earnings forecast range of HKD 550-650 million [2] - The logistics business confirmed substantial growth in REITs issuance revenue, awaiting the rollout of transformation projects. The logistics park business generated revenue of HKD 750 million, down 1% year-on-year, with shareholder profit of HKD 562 million, up 44% year-on-year. The successful issuance of public REITs in H1 2024 recorded a post-tax income of approximately HKD 587 million. The company is adjusting its investment strategy to focus on core assets in the Greater Bay Area, with 14 projects currently, 7 of which are operational or under management. As construction projects come online, logistics operating income is expected to continue growing [2][3] - The toll road and environmental protection businesses faced short-term pressure due to extreme weather and impairment provisions. Toll road revenue was HKD 3.75 billion, down 10% year-on-year, with net profit of HKD 1.065 billion, down 14% year-on-year. The decline was attributed to adverse weather conditions and increased free periods for small passenger vehicles during holidays. The environmental protection business generated revenue of HKD 790 million, down 7% year-on-year, with a net loss of HKD 157 million, primarily due to decreased wind power revenue and increased asset impairment [2][3] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is optimizing its debt structure, achieving improved financial costs. As of June 30, 2024, the ratio of RMB to foreign currency loans was 83% to 17%, down from 73% to 27% in the same period of 2023. Net exchange losses were approximately HKD 26 million, a reduction of about HKD 584 million year-on-year [3] - The report maintains previous profit forecasts, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders of HKD 3.08 billion, HKD 4.02 billion, and HKD 4.25 billion for 2024-2026, corresponding to P/E ratios of 4.7x, 3.6x, and 3.4x respectively. With a projected 50% dividend payout ratio, the dividend yield is estimated at approximately 10.7%, 14.0%, and 14.8% for the respective years [3][4]
深圳国际：业绩符合预期，静待转型升级项目落地