证券研究报告 固收定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 14 日 开年金融数据的几点信号 ——2026 年 1 月金融数据点评 投资要点： 事件：2 月 13 日傍晚央行披露了 1 月金融数据：新增贷款 4.71 万亿元，社融增量 7.22 万亿元。1 月末，M2 达 347.2 万亿，YoY+9.0%；M1 YoY +4.9%；社融增速 8.2%。 证券分析师 廖志明 SAC：S1350524100002 liaozhiming@huayuanstock.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 图表 3：2026 年 1 月社融增量 7.22 万亿，同比小幅多增（亿元） 资料来源：人行官网、华源证券研究所 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 第 2页/ 共 4页 联系人 1 月新增贷款同比明显少增，反映 2026 年信贷需求依然偏弱。由于"早投放早受益"， 年初银行信贷投放动力强，信贷投放节奏普遍前倾。2026 年春节较晚，春节前企业 发年终奖可能促使个人提前偿还个贷，或对 2 月份个贷数据影响较大。2025 年春节 较早，春节错位之下，1 月份新增贷款 4.71 ...

证券研究报告|北交所专题报告 2026年2月13日 新材料产业深度转型下的北交所投资机遇 —北交所投资框架工具书 证券分析师 姓名：赵昊 资格编号：S1350524110004 邮箱：zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 联系人 姓名：胡文瀚 邮箱：huwenhan@huayuanstock.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 1 报告要点 风险提示：宏观经济环境变动风险、市场竞争风险、资料统计误差风险。 Ø 当前，在国产替代从"可选"变为"必选"与新质生产力催生全新需求的双重驱动下，新材料产业迎来历史性发展窗口。北交所作为服务创新型中小企业的 核心阵地，汇聚了一批在细分领域深耕多年的"隐形冠军"，它们普遍具备"新、小、精"的特征，正成为突破关键材料"卡脖子"环节和卡位未来产业供 应链的新锐力量。 Ø 我们通过全景扫描，将北交所新材料公司划分为非金属功能材料、新能源材料、高分子及复合材料、金属材料、精细化工等五大板块，并进一步聚焦半导体 材料与新质生产力配套材料两大核心主线。 Ø 半导体材料方面，产业逻辑在于攻克技术Know-how较多、认证周期较长的深水区，北交所公司正逐步在光刻 ...

证券研究报告 电子 | 消费电子 北交所|新股申购 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 13 日 证券分析师 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 王宇璇 SAC：S1350525050003 wangyuxuan@huayuanstock.com 海菲曼(920183.BJ) ——具备全球影响力的高端电声品牌商，不断丰富产品线和提升产品性能 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 发行价格 19.71 元/股，发行市盈率 14.5X，申购日为 2026 年 2 月 24 日。海菲曼本次公开发 行股份数量为 1,052.7020 万股，发行后总股本 4,895.2000 万股，本次公开发行股份数量占 发行后总股本的 21.50%。本次发行不安排超额配售选择权。经我们测算，公司发行后预计可 流通股本比例为 25.13%，老股占可流通股本比例为 14.43%。本次发行战略配售发行数量为 105.2702 万股，占本次发行数量的 10.00%。募集资金在扣除发行费用后拟用于投资"先进 声学元器件和整机产能提升项目"、"监听 ...

证券研究报告 固收定期报告 风险提示：1）数据来源和数据处理偏误风险；2）信用策略假设可能与个券投资收 益存在偏差；3）基本面不及预期的风险。 廖志明 SAC：S1350524100002 liaozhiming@huayuanstock.com 赵孟田 SAC：S1350525070004 zhaomengtian@huayuanstock.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 证券分析师 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 13 日 二永利差压降或仍有空间 ——2 月信用投资策略 投资要点： 从信用利差压降的空间来看，观察不同券种与同期限同等级中短票之间的超额利差， 截至 2026/1/30，3Y AAA-银行二级资本债、银行永续债、产业债超额利差分别为 6.1BP/6.6BP/11.0BP，分别处于 2025 年初以来的 92%/79%/44%分位；3Y AA+城 投债超额利差为-1.1BP，处于 2025 年初以来的 55%分位。从标的选择的性价比来 看，银行二级资本债>银行永续债>城投债>产业债。 图表目录 | 图表 | 1： | 2025 | 年以来 | 3Y AAA- ...

证券研究报告 建筑装饰 | 基础建设 非金融|公司专题报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 13 日 证券分析师 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 林高凡 lingaofan@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | | 2026 | 年 | 02 | | 日 | 月 12 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | 7.97 | | | | 一 年 内 | 最 | 低 | | | | | 10.65/5.82 | | （元） | | | | | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | | | 7,732.94 | | 资产负债率（%） | ...

Consumption Trends - The emotional economy market in China is expected to exceed 20 trillion yuan in 2024, with a projected CAGR of 14% from 2025 to 2029[3][60]. - The beauty consumption market is projected to reach nearly 370 billion yuan by 2025, with the retail sales of cosmetics in China estimated at 465.3 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.1%[5][51]. - The health food market is anticipated to reach 720.3 billion yuan by 2029, driven by increasing health awareness and aging population[5]. Policy and Market Dynamics - The Chinese government has prioritized boosting consumption as a key task for 2025, with policies supporting consumption upgrades and equipment renewal[5][9]. - Changing consumer behavior emphasizes emotional value, health, and personalized consumption, indicating a shift towards emotional and social fulfillment in purchasing decisions[5][9]. Key Industry Insights - The maternal and infant food market is projected to reach approximately 55.91 billion yuan in 2024, with the number of maternal and infant chain stores increasing from 21,000 in 2019 to 32,000 in 2024[5]. - The pet economy is expected to grow significantly, with the market size reaching 701.3 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting an 18% year-on-year increase[58]. Investment Opportunities - Companies in the North Exchange related to beauty consumption include Jinbo Biological, Bawei Co., and Vicky Technology, which are positioned to benefit from the ongoing growth in the beauty sector[5][52]. - The health food sector includes leading brands like Kangbiter and Yizhi Konjac, which are well-placed to capitalize on the rising demand for health-oriented products[5].

证券研究报告 美容护理 | 个护用品 港股|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 13 日 丁一 SAC：S1350524040003 dingyi@huayuanstock.com 联系人 王悦 wangyue03@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | 2026 | 年 | 月 | 12 日 | | 02 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港元） | | | | | 31.26 | | | 一年内最高/最低（港 | | | 36.80/28.42 | | | | | 元） | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万港元） | | | | 19,366.09 | | | | 流通市值（百万港元） | | | | 19,366.09 | | | | 资产负债率（%） | | | | | 44.94 | | | 资料来源：聚源数据 | | | | | | | 乐舒适(02698.HK) 投资评级： 买入（首次） ——非洲卫生用品龙头，本土化护城河较深 投资要点： | 风险提示:婴儿及女性卫生用品行业竞争 ...

Group 1: Fixed Income Market Insights - The scale of public fixed income + funds reached a historical high of approximately 2.83 trillion yuan by the end of Q4 2025, with a slight increase of 0.09 trillion yuan from Q3 2025, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of 3.2% [6][7][12] - The top five fund companies in terms of fixed income + fund scale as of December 2025 were: Invesco Great Wall (230.9 billion yuan), E Fund (221.9 billion yuan), Huatai-PB (157.1 billion yuan), and others [7][8] - The equity allocation of fixed income + funds reached its highest level since Q4 2023, with stock, bond, and deposit market values accounting for 9.7%, 86.4%, and 1.5% respectively in Q4 2025 [8][9] Group 2: Fund Performance and Holdings - The average annual return for fixed income + funds in 2025 was 5.35%, with specific returns for different fund types: mixed debt funds (6.7%), first-level debt funds (2.4%), second-level debt funds (4.9%), and convertible bond funds (22.9%) [12] - The manufacturing sector dominated the investment focus of fixed income + funds, with an investment scale of 172.2 billion yuan, accounting for approximately 63% of total stock investments [9][10] - The top ten heavy positions in fixed income + funds showed strong stability, with major stocks like Zijin Mining, CATL, and Tencent remaining in the top three [10][11] Group 3: Banking Sector Analysis - The proportion of active equity funds heavily invested in the banking sector increased from 3.6% in Q3 2025 to 4.4% in Q4 2025, with a significant recovery in the banking index's quarterly return from -10.5% to 4.6% [17][18] - Notable banks such as Ningbo Bank and Jiangsu Bank are recommended for their strong asset quality and risk management capabilities, with Ningbo Bank showing a collaborative model in wealth management and technology finance [20][19] - The overall performance of listed banks is relatively weak, but some banks exhibit strong growth potential due to differentiated operational strategies [20] Group 4: Company-Specific Insights on Haibo Shichuang - Haibo Shichuang, established in 2011, has become a leading player in the domestic energy storage system integration market, ranking first in installed capacity in China by the end of 2024 [21][22] - The company is expected to benefit from the rapid growth of energy storage installations driven by the domestic electricity market reforms, with significant projects already secured [22][23] - Internationally, Haibo Shichuang has established partnerships and local teams in key markets, enhancing its ability to deliver projects and improve profitability, particularly in overseas markets [23][24]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (first time) [4] Core Viewpoints - The proportion of bank stocks held by actively managed equity funds remains low, with a slight increase in the fourth quarter of 2025. The market capitalization of bank stocks in actively managed funds rose from 1.8% in Q3 2025 to 1.9% in Q4 2025, indicating a gradual recovery [4][12] - The bank index's quarterly return rebounded significantly from -10.5% in Q3 2025 to 4.6% in Q4 2025, reflecting a 15.07 percentage point increase [23] - The report suggests focusing on high-quality banks with stable asset quality and strong risk management capabilities, particularly in favorable economic regions [44][48] Summary by Sections 1. Changes in Fund Holdings in Q4 2025 - The market capitalization of bank stocks held by public funds increased from 3.6% in Q3 2025 to 4.4% in Q4 2025, with a total value of approximately 1,473 billion [6][8] - The increase in bank stock holdings was primarily driven by passive equity funds, which saw their bank stock market capitalization rise from 841.1 billion in Q3 2025 to 1,104.2 billion in Q4 2025, increasing their proportion from 5.4% to 7.0% [19][22] - Active equity funds showed a slight increase in bank stock holdings, with the market capitalization rising from 300.4 billion in Q3 2025 to 305.5 billion in Q4 2025 [21][22] 2. Performance of Bank Stocks - The bank sector's performance was highlighted by a significant recovery in the bank index, which turned positive in Q4 2025 after a negative performance in the previous quarter [23] - The report indicates that the overall performance of listed banks has been relatively weak, but certain banks are showing strong growth potential due to differentiated business strategies [44][48] 3. Recommendations for Investment - The report recommends focusing on banks with robust asset quality and risk management, particularly those in economically strong regions such as Ningbo Bank, Jiangsu Bank, and Nanjing Bank [44][48]

证券研究报告 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 豆鹏超 doupengchao@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | | | 2026 | 年 | 02 | | 日 | 月 | | 11 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | | 219.00 | | | | | | 一 年 / 低 | 最 | 高 | 最 | | | | | | | 内 | | | （元） | | | | | | | 426.01/60.00 | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | | 39,440.26 | | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | | | 29,033.77 | | | | | | 总股本（百万股） | | | | | | | 180.0 ...