ZTT(600522) Guotai Junan Securities·2024-09-02 05:58Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [3] Core Views - The report indicates that the company's performance is stable, with a positive outlook for the offshore wind sector over the next two years. The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2024-2026, maintaining a target price of 16.08 CNY and a "Buy" rating [4][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 21.415 billion CNY for H1 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.32%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 25.31% to 1.460 billion CNY, while the non-recurring net profit fell by 9.33% to 1.327 billion CNY, aligning with market expectations [4]. - The revenue growth was driven by steady increases in ultra-high voltage construction and marine business, which offset declines in the solar and energy storage sectors due to industry competition, as well as a decrease in optical fiber and cable revenues [4]. - The overall gross margin improved by 0.44 percentage points compared to the full year of 2023, despite some business segments facing profitability challenges [4]. Industry Outlook - The report highlights that there are numerous projects awaiting commencement in the offshore wind sector, suggesting a positive outlook for the industry over the next two years. Currently, there are 10 GW of offshore wind projects underway and 19 GW approved but not yet started. The report anticipates that as key projects in Jiangsu and Guangdong progress, more projects will begin construction and grid connection, leading to a favorable industry cycle starting in 2025-2026 [4]. Financial Forecasts - The adjusted net profit forecasts for the company are 3.271 billion CNY for 2024, 3.966 billion CNY for 2025, and 4.706 billion CNY for 2026, with corresponding EPS of 0.96, 1.16, and 1.38 CNY respectively [4][12]. - The company maintains a target price of 16.08 CNY based on a 14x valuation for 2025, reflecting a stable outlook despite the adjustments in profit forecasts [4].