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电子行业周报:英伟达二季度业绩持续超预期,IDC调高全年手机交付同比增幅
Donghai Securities·2024-09-02 10:31

Investment Rating - The report suggests a cautious optimism for the electronics sector, indicating a gradual recovery in demand and pricing normalization, with a recommendation to slowly accumulate positions in select areas [6][9]. Core Insights - Nvidia's Q2 performance exceeded expectations, but its Q3 guidance fell short of the highest market forecasts, raising concerns about potential growth slowdown. However, the report emphasizes the ongoing necessity for tech companies to invest in AI, suggesting that Nvidia's growth is returning to a more sustainable trajectory [6][7]. - The consumer electronics supply chain is experiencing a mild recovery, driven by AI, with IDC raising its forecast for global smartphone shipments in 2024 to a 5.8% year-on-year increase, predicting that AI smartphones will capture 18% of the market by year-end [8][15]. - The electronics industry is currently in a phase of bottoming out, with valuations at historical lows, making it an opportune time to focus on four main investment themes: AIOT, AI-driven sectors, equipment materials, and the consumer electronics cycle [6][9]. Summary by Sections Industry News - Nvidia reported Q2 revenue of $30.04 billion, a 15% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 122% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of $16.599 billion, reflecting a 168% year-on-year growth [14]. - IDC has revised its 2024 global smartphone shipment forecast to 1.23 billion units, a 5.8% increase from the previous year, driven by strong growth in Android devices in China and emerging markets [15]. - The report highlights the collaboration between SK Hynix, TSMC, and Nvidia to develop next-generation HBM technology, aiming for mass production by 2026 [16]. Market Performance - The electronics sector outperformed the broader market, with the Shenwan Electronics Index rising 3.43% while the CSI 300 Index fell by 0.17%, indicating a positive trend in the sector [28]. - As of August 30, 2024, various sub-sectors within electronics showed positive growth, with semiconductor stocks up by 3.11% and consumer electronics up by 4.55% [9][30]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies benefiting from strong overseas demand in the AIOT sector, such as Lexin Technology and Hengxuan Technology, as well as those in the AI innovation-driven segment like Cambricon and Haiguang Information [9]. - It also suggests monitoring the upstream supply chain for semiconductor equipment and materials, highlighting companies like China Shipbuilding Gas and Huate Gas as potential investment opportunities [9].