CNCEC(SH:601117) Guolian Securities·2024-09-02 13:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company has shown strong growth in new overseas contracts, with a notable increase in gross profit margins. The chemical engineering segment continues to grow steadily, reflecting a solid order backlog and good project execution pace. The company's "two business" strategic transformation is progressing well, supported by steady growth in its industrial and new materials businesses [3][9][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company's total revenue was 91 billion yuan, a slight year-on-year decrease. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.8 billion yuan, down 4% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 3.1 billion yuan, up 3% year-on-year. In Q2 2024, total revenue was 45.9 billion yuan, down 6% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.6 billion yuan, down 12% year-on-year [9]. - The company’s revenue from various segments in H1 2024 was as follows: chemical engineering 73.9 billion yuan (up 4% YoY), infrastructure 10.1 billion yuan (down 20% YoY), environmental governance 1.1 billion yuan (down 22% YoY), industrial and new materials 4.4 billion yuan (up 7% YoY), and modern services 0.7 billion yuan (down 53% YoY) [9]. - The gross profit margin improved slightly to 9.8%, up 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, with the Q2 gross profit margin at 11.1%, up 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [9][10]. Strategic Outlook - The company expects revenue growth of 13% annually from 2024 to 2026, with projected revenues of 201.6 billion yuan in 2024, 228.2 billion yuan in 2025, and 258.6 billion yuan in 2026. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 6.1 billion yuan in 2024, 7.1 billion yuan in 2025, and 8.1 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% over three years [9][10]. - The company is projected to maintain a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10 times for 2024, supporting the "Buy" rating [10].