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机械设备行业投资策略周报:装备制造业平稳恢复,静待需求边际改善
GF SECURITIES·2024-09-03 11:41

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [1] Core Views - Industrial enterprise profit growth has accelerated, with a year-on-year increase of 3.6% from January to July, reflecting a stable recovery trend [2][12] - The mechanical industry index rose by 1.59% in the last week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index which increased by 1.20% [2] - The engineering machinery market index (CMI) for August is 95.16, showing a year-on-year growth of 14.03% but a month-on-month decrease of 0.29%, indicating a seasonal downturn [2][18] - The report highlights several key investment themes for the second half of 2024, including recovery in engineering machinery and growth in automation and semiconductor equipment sectors [2] Summary by Sections 1. Macroeconomic Tracking - Industrial profits are showing a stable recovery, with a 4.1% year-on-year increase in July, marking a continuous acceleration [12] - High-tech manufacturing profits grew by 12.8%, significantly above the average industrial level, contributing to overall industrial profit growth [12] 2. Midstream Data Tracking - The engineering machinery market index (CMI) indicates a recovery trend, with a year-on-year increase of 14.03% in August [18] - Domestic demand is expected to stabilize, with significant opportunities in engineering machinery and automation sectors [2][18] - The report suggests focusing on companies like Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and others for potential investment [2] 3. Sector-Specific Insights - The shipbuilding sector shows a mixed performance, with new orders down by 30.75% year-on-year but a cumulative increase of 46.57% in new ship orders this year [25] - The oil and gas equipment sector is experiencing a recovery, with an increase in active drilling rigs in North America [23][24]